Conditional probability

  • Dicey Dice
    problem

    Dicey dice

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Invent a set of three dice where each one is better than one of the others?
  • Drug testing
    problem

    Drug testing

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    How do different drug-testing regimes affect the risks and payoffs for an athlete who chooses to take drugs?
  • Rain or Shine
    problem

    Rain or shine

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Predict future weather using the probability that tomorrow is wet given today is wet and the probability that tomorrow is wet given that today is dry.

  • X-Dice
    problem

    X-dice

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Explore these X-dice with numbers other than 1 to 6 on their faces. Which one is best?
  • Ante Up
    problem

    Ante up

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Use cunning to work out a strategy to win this game.
  • Put Out
    problem

    Put out

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    After transferring balls back and forth between two bags the probability of selecting a green ball from bag 2 is 3/5. How many green balls were in bag 2 at the outset?