Conditional probability

  • Snooker
    problem

    Snooker

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    filled star empty star empty star

    A player has probability 0.4 of winning a single game. What is his probability of winning a 'best of 15 games' tournament?

  • Succession in Randomia
    problem

    Succession in Randomia

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    filled star empty star empty star

    By tossing a coin one of three princes is chosen to be the next King of Randomia. Does each prince have an equal chance of taking the throne?

  • Dicey Dice
    problem

    Dicey Dice

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    filled star empty star empty star

    Invent a set of three dice where each one is better than one of the others?

  • Drug testing
    problem

    Drug Testing

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    filled star empty star empty star

    How do different drug-testing regimes affect the risks and payoffs for an athlete who chooses to take drugs?

  • X-Dice
    problem

    X-Dice

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    filled star filled star empty star

    Explore these X-dice with numbers other than 1 to 6 on their faces. Which one is best?

  • Ante Up
    problem

    Ante Up

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
    filled star filled star empty star

    Use cunning to work out a strategy to win this game.