Conditional probability

There are 26 NRICH Mathematical resources connected to Conditional probability
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problem

Dropouts

Age
14 to 16
Challenge level
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What percentage of students who graduate have never been to France?
Drug testing
problem

Drug testing

Age
16 to 18
Challenge level
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How do different drug-testing regimes affect the risks and payoffs for an athlete who chooses to take drugs?
Squash
problem

Squash

Age
16 to 18
Challenge level
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If the score is 8-8 do I have more chance of winning if the winner is the first to reach 9 points or the first to reach 10 points?
Snooker
problem

Snooker

Age
16 to 18
Challenge level
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A player has probability 0.4 of winning a single game. What is his probability of winning a 'best of 15 games' tournament?
Ante Up
problem

Ante up

Age
16 to 18
Challenge level
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Use cunning to work out a strategy to win this game.
Coin Tossing Games
problem

Coin tossing games

Age
14 to 16
Challenge level
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You and I play a game involving successive throws of a fair coin. Suppose I pick HH and you pick TH. The coin is thrown repeatedly until we see either two heads in a row (I win) or a tail followed by a head (you win). What is the probability that you win?
Fixing the Odds
problem

Fixing the odds

Age
14 to 16
Challenge level
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You have two bags, four red balls and four white balls. You must put all the balls in the bags although you are allowed to have one bag empty. How should you distribute the balls between the two bags so as to make the probability of choosing a red ball as small as possible and what will the probability be in that case?
Penta Colour
problem

Penta colour

Age
14 to 16
Challenge level
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In how many different ways can I colour the five edges of a pentagon so that no two adjacent edges are the same colour?
Master Minding
problem

Master minding

Age
11 to 14
Challenge level
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Your partner chooses two beads and places them side by side behind a screen. What is the minimum number of guesses you would need to be sure of guessing the two beads and their positions?