Theoretical probability

  • In a box
    problem
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    In a Box

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    Chris and Jo put two red and four blue ribbons in a box. They each pick a ribbon from the box without looking. Jo wins if the two ribbons are the same colour. Is the game fair?

  • The Birthday Bet
    problem
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    The Birthday Bet

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    The next ten people coming into a store will be asked their birthday. If the prize is £20, would you bet £1 that two of these ten people will have the same birthday ?
  • Same Number!
    problem
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    Same Number!

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    If everyone in your class picked a number from 1 to 225, do you think any two people would pick the same number?

  • Mathsland National Lottery
    problem
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    Mathsland National Lottery

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    Can you work out the probability of winning the Mathsland National Lottery?

  • Distribution Differences
    problem

    Distribution Differences

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    How could you compare different situations where something random happens? What sort of things might be the same? What might be different?

  • Gambling at Monte Carlo
    problem

    Gambling at Monte Carlo

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    A man went to Monte Carlo to try and make his fortune. Is his strategy a winning one?

  • Which spinners?
    problem
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    Which Spinners?

    Age
    14 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Can you work out which spinners were used to generate the frequency charts?

  • Voting Paradox
    problem

    Voting Paradox

    Age
    14 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Some relationships are transitive, such as 'if A>B and B>C then it follows that A>C', but some are not. In a voting system, if A beats B and B beats C should we expect A to beat C?

  • Snooker
    problem

    Snooker

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    A player has probability 0.4 of winning a single game. What is his probability of winning a 'best of 15 games' tournament?