Theoretical probability

  • Knock-out
    problem
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    Knock-Out

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Before a knockout tournament with 2^n players I pick two players. What is the probability that they have to play against each other at some point in the tournament?
  • Limiting Probabilities
    problem
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    Limiting Probabilities

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Given probabilities of taking paths in a graph from each node, use matrix multiplication to find the probability of going from one vertex to another in 2 stages, or 3, or 4 or even 100.
  • FA Cup
    problem
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    Fa Cup

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    In four years 2001 to 2004 Arsenal have been drawn against Chelsea in the FA cup and have beaten Chelsea every time. What was the probability of this? Lots of fractions in the calculations!
  • problem
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    In the Playground

    Age
    5 to 11
    Challenge level
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    What can you say about the child who will be first on the playground tomorrow morning at breaktime in your school?

  • problem
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    The Car That Passes

    Age
    7 to 11
    Challenge level
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    What statements can you make about the car that passes the school gates at 11am on Monday? How will you come up with statements and test your ideas?

  • Roll these Dice
    problem
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    Roll These Dice

    Age
    7 to 11
    Challenge level
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    Roll two red dice and a green dice. Add the two numbers on the red dice and take away the number on the green. What are all the different possible answers?

  • problem
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    Same or Different?

    Age
    7 to 11
    Challenge level
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    Anna and Becky put one purple cube and two yellow cubes into a bag to play a game. Is the game fair? Explain your answer.

  • problem
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    The Twelve Pointed Star Game

    Age
    7 to 11
    Challenge level
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    Have a go at this game which involves throwing two dice and adding their totals. Where should you place your counters to be more likely to win?

  • It's a Tie
    problem
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    It's a Tie

    Age
    7 to 11
    Challenge level
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    Kaia is sure that her father has worn a particular tie twice a week in at least five of the last ten weeks, but her father disagrees. Who do you think is right?
  • Flippin' discs
    problem
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    Flippin' Discs

    Age
    11 to 14
    Challenge level
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    Discs are flipped in the air. You win if all the faces show the same colour. What is the probability of winning?