Probability

  • Taking Chances
    problem

    Taking chances

    Age
    11 to 14
    Challenge level
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    This article, for students and teachers, is mainly about probability, the mathematical way of looking at random chance and is a shorter version of Taking Chances Extended.
  • Can't find a coin?
    problem

    Can't find a coin?

    Age
    11 to 14
    Challenge level
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    Can you generate a set of random results? Can you fool the random simulator?
  • Heavy hydrocarbons
    problem

    Heavy hydrocarbons

    Age
    14 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Explore the distribution of molecular masses for various hydrocarbons
  • Molecular sequencer
    problem

    Molecular sequencer

    Age
    14 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Investigate the molecular masses in this sequence of molecules and deduce which molecule has been analysed in the mass spectrometer.
  • Peas in a pod
    problem

    Peas in a pod

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    What is the chance this pea plant will look like its parents?
  • Squash
    problem

    Squash

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    If the score is 8-8 do I have more chance of winning if the winner is the first to reach 9 points or the first to reach 10 points?
  • Gambling at Monte Carlo
    problem

    Gambling at Monte Carlo

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    A man went to Monte Carlo to try and make his fortune. Is his strategy a winning one?

  • Fixing the Odds
    problem

    Fixing the odds

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    You have two bags, four red balls and four white balls. You must put all the balls in the bags although you are allowed to have one bag empty. How should you distribute the balls between the two bags so as to make the probability of choosing a red ball as small as possible and what will the probability be in that case?
  • Scratch Cards
    problem

    Scratch cards

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    To win on a scratch card you have to uncover three numbers that add up to more than fifteen. What is the probability of winning a prize?
  • Limiting Probabilities
    problem

    Limiting probabilities

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Given probabilities of taking paths in a graph from each node, use matrix multiplication to find the probability of going from one vertex to another in 2 stages, or 3, or 4 or even 100.