Probability

problem
Snooker frames

Age

16 to 18

Challenge level

It is believed that weaker snooker players have a better chance of winning matches over eleven frames (i.e. first to win 6 frames) than they do over fifteen frames. Is this true?
problem
Snooker

Age

16 to 18

Challenge level

A player has probability 0.4 of winning a single game. What is his probability of winning a 'best of 15 games' tournament?
problem
Squash

Age

16 to 18

Challenge level

If the score is 8-8 do I have more chance of winning if the winner is the first to reach 9 points or the first to reach 10 points?
problem
Knock-out

Age

16 to 18

Challenge level

Before a knockout tournament with 2^n players I pick two players. What is the probability that they have to play against each other at some point in the tournament?
problem
Rain or shine

Age

16 to 18

Challenge level

Predict future weather using the probability that tomorrow is wet given today is wet and the probability that tomorrow is wet given that today is dry.
problem
Roll these dice

Age

7 to 11

Challenge level

Roll two red dice and a green dice. Add the two numbers on the red dice and take away the number on the green. What are all the different possible answers?
article
Why do people find probability unintuitive and difficult?

Uncertain about the likelihood of unexpected events? You are not alone!
article
Progression in primary probability

The beginnings of understanding probability begin much earlier than you might think...
article
An introduction to tree diagrams

This article explains how tree diagrams are constructed and helps you to understand how they can be used to calculate probabilities.
article
From a random world to a rational universe

In the time before the mathematical idea of randomness was discovered, people thought that everything that happened was part of the will of supernatural beings. So have things changed?