Combining probabilities

  • Taking Chances Extended
    article

    Taking chances extended

    This article, for students and teachers, is mainly about probability, the mathematical way of looking at random chance.
  • Chance Combinations
    problem

    Chance combinations

    Age
    11 to 14
    Challenge level
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    Can you design a bingo board that gives you the best chance of winning?
  • How Risky \is my diet?
    problem

    How risky is my diet?

    Age
    11 to 16
    Challenge level
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    Newspapers said that eating a bacon sandwich every day raises the risk of bowel cancer by 20%. Should you be concerned?
  • Statins and Risk
    problem

    Statins and risk

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    "Statins cut the risks of heart attacks and strokes by 40%"
    Should the Professor take statins? Can you help him decide?
  • Knock-out
    problem

    Knock-out

    Age
    16 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Before a knockout tournament with 2^n players I pick two players. What is the probability that they have to play against each other at some point in the tournament?
  • Win or Lose?
    problem

    Win or lose?

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    A gambler bets half the money in his pocket on the toss of a coin, winning an equal amount for a head and losing his money if the result is a tail. After 2n plays he has won exactly n times. Has he more money than he started with?
  • Voting Paradox
    problem

    Voting paradox

    Age
    14 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Some relationships are transitive, such as `if A>B and B>C then it follows that A>C', but some are not. In a voting system, if A beats B and B beats C should we expect A to beat C?
  • Taking Chances
    problem

    Taking chances

    Age
    11 to 14
    Challenge level
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    This article, for students and teachers, is mainly about probability, the mathematical way of looking at random chance and is a shorter version of Taking Chances Extended.
  • Heavy hydrocarbons
    problem

    Heavy hydrocarbons

    Age
    14 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Explore the distribution of molecular masses for various hydrocarbons
  • Molecular sequencer
    problem

    Molecular sequencer

    Age
    14 to 18
    Challenge level
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    Investigate the molecular masses in this sequence of molecules and deduce which molecule has been analysed in the mass spectrometer.