Combining probabilities

There are 23 NRICH Mathematical resources connected to Combining probabilities
Fixing the Odds
problem

Fixing the Odds

Age
14 to 16
Challenge level
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You have two bags, four red balls and four white balls. You must put all the balls in the bags although you are allowed to have one bag empty. How should you distribute the balls between the two bags so as to make the probability of choosing a red ball as small as possible and what will the probability be in that case?
Win or Lose?
problem

Win or Lose?

Age
14 to 16
Challenge level
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A gambler bets half the money in his pocket on the toss of a coin, winning an equal amount for a head and losing his money if the result is a tail. After 2n plays he has won exactly n times. Has he more money than he started with?
Marbles and Bags
problem

Marbles and Bags

Age
14 to 16
Challenge level
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Two bags contain different numbers of red and blue marbles. A marble is removed from one of the bags. The marble is blue. What is the probability that it was removed from bag A?
Gambling at Monte Carlo
problem

Gambling at Monte Carlo

Age
14 to 16
Challenge level
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A man went to Monte Carlo to try and make his fortune. Is his strategy a winning one?
Snooker Frames
problem

Snooker Frames

Age
16 to 18
Challenge level
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It is believed that weaker snooker players have a better chance of winning matches over eleven frames (i.e. first to win 6 frames) than they do over fifteen frames. Is this true?
Snooker
problem

Snooker

Age
16 to 18
Challenge level
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A player has probability 0.4 of winning a single game. What is his probability of winning a 'best of 15 games' tournament?
Squash
problem

Squash

Age
16 to 18
Challenge level
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If the score is 8-8 do I have more chance of winning if the winner is the first to reach 9 points or the first to reach 10 points?
Knock-out
problem

Knock-out

Age
16 to 18
Challenge level
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Before a knockout tournament with 2^n players I pick two players. What is the probability that they have to play against each other at some point in the tournament?
Taking Chances Extended
article

Taking Chances Extended

This article, for students and teachers, is mainly about probability, the mathematical way of looking at random chance.
Placeholder: several colourful numbers
problem

Odd Dice

Age
14 to 16
Challenge level
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These strange dice are rolled. What is the probability that the sum obtained is an odd number?