Odds and evens made fair
Problem
Odds and Evens Made Fair printable sheet
In the problem Odds and Evens, we introduced the following game and invited you to work out whether the game was fair:
Here is a set of numbered balls used for a game.
To play the game, the balls are mixed up and two balls are randomly picked out together.
The numbers on the balls are added together.
If the total is even, you win. If the total is odd, you lose.
Can you find a set of balls where the chance of getting an even total is the same as the chance of getting an odd total?
How many sets of balls with this property can you find?
What do you notice about the number of odd and even balls in your sets?
You might like to use the Odds and Evens Interactivity to show the experimental probabilities for different sets of up to nine numbers. You can click on the purple cog to change the sets of numbers - just list the numbers you want to use, separated by a space, as in the screenshot
below:
This problem featured in an NRICH video in June 2020.
Getting Started
If I had 1 odd and 1 even ball would it be a fair game?
If I had 2 odds and 1 even ball would it be a fair game?
If I had 1 odd and 2 even balls would it be a fair game?
If I had 1 odd and 3 even balls would it be a fair game?
...
Teachers' Resources
Why do this problem?
This problem offers a meaningful context in which algebraic fractions and tree diagrams can help explain a surprising result in a probability problem. Collaborative working makes it possible for students to tackle an otherwise unmanageable task.
Possible approach
This problem featured in an NRICH video in June 2020.
This problem follows on from the problem Odds and Evens.
"Imagine you had a bag containing a set of balls with whole numbers on them. You choose two balls, and find the total. Can you find a set of balls where the chance of getting an odd total is equal to the chance of getting an even total?"
Click below for a numerical approach suitable for students without experience working algebraically with tree diagrams.
Divide the class into groups working on different combinations and ask them to report back. Students could use sample space diagrams or tree diagrams to work out the probability for each case. Then they could record combinations that have been checked on the board with a tick or a cross to show whether they are fair or not.
There will be opportunities while the class are working to stop everyone and share students' insights that will make the job easier. For example: "None of the combinations with zero will work because..." "If 3 odds and 2 evens won't work, 2 odds and 3 evens won't either, because..." "You can't have the same number of evens and odds because..."
Eventually, there will be a sea of crosses on the board and just a few combinations that work (four, if the class have gone up to 9 balls in total). Ask the class to stop and consider what the fair sets have in common. This may lead to some new conjectures about the total number of balls, so organise the class to test the conjectures. Once there is some confirmation about the total number of balls needed for fair games, conjectures can also be made about how these should be split into odds and evens. Students can test examples with large numbers, using the simplified sample space method detailed in the Teachers' notes to Odds and Evens. Draw attention to how valuable it is to work collaboratively as part of a mathematical community, and how difficult it would have been to have reached the same insights working alone.
Finally, invite students to prove their conjectures algebraically. This worksheet outlines one possible proof.
Click below for an algebraic approach using tree diagrams.
Give the class time to work on this. Draw attention to clear methods of representation such as tree diagrams or sample space diagrams. Eventually, students should find that p and q satisfy the equation $(p-q)^2 = p+q$ or equivalent.
"Can we find some values of p and q that satisfy the conditions?" At this point, encourage students to work systematically, and depending on their form for the equation they could set square-number values for $p-q$ and solve the resulting simultaneous equations, or choose a value for p and see whether there is a corresponding integer value for q. Invite students to write up on the board any pairs of numbers p and q they find that work.
"What do you notice about p and q? Can anyone explain why?"
Finally, a little algebra can show why p and q belong to the set of triangle numbers. This worksheet shows one possible proof method.
You might like to use the Odds and Evens Interactivity to show the experimental probabilities for different sets of up to nine numbers. You can click on the purple cog to change the sets of numbers - just list the numbers you want to use, separated by a space, as in the screenshot
below:
Key questions
How can you decide if a game is fair?
Possible support
Take plenty of time to work on the original Odds and Evens problem before trying this extension task.
Possible extension
The problem In a Box offers another context for exploring exactly the same underlying mathematical structure, and could be used as a follow-up problem a few weeks after working on this one.