This collection of resources was developed in collaboration with Professor David Spiegelhalter
of the University of Cambridge.
Often in the media there are stories about activities that can reduce or increase various risks. How can you decide whether you should be concerned about these risks?
These resources explore how to interpret media stories, so you can decide for yourself what the risk is and whether you should change your behaviour.
problem
How risky is my diet?
Newspapers said that eating a bacon sandwich every day raises the risk of bowel cancer by 20%. Should you be concerned?
problem
Trusting the tabloids
Can you match the cards and figure out whether the tabloid headlines can be trusted?
problem
Risk and crime
Are you at risk of being a victim of crime? How does your perception of that risk compare with the facts and figures?
problem
Statins and risk
"Statins cut the risks of heart attacks and strokes by 40%"
Should the Professor take statins? Can you help him decide?
Should the Professor take statins? Can you help him decide?
These resources were originally developed by the Millennium Mathematics Project Motivate Programme in collaboration with Professor David Spiegelhalter, funded by a Wellcome Trust grant.
You may be interested in Understanding Uncertainty, David Spiegelhalter's website that tries to make sense of chance, risk, luck, uncertainty and probability.