Experimental probability

  • The Mean Game
    article

    The mean game

    Edward Wallace based his A Level Statistics Project on The Mean Game. Each picks 2 numbers. The winner is the player who picks a number closest to the mean of all the numbers picked.
  • Taking Chances Extended
    article

    Taking chances extended

    This article, for students and teachers, is mainly about probability, the mathematical way of looking at random chance.
  • The random world
    article

    The random world

    Think that a coin toss is 50-50 heads or tails? Read on to appreciate the ever-changing and random nature of the world in which we live.
  • Coin Tossing Games
    problem

    Coin tossing games

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    You and I play a game involving successive throws of a fair coin. Suppose I pick HH and you pick TH. The coin is thrown repeatedly until we see either two heads in a row (I win) or a tail followed by a head (you win). What is the probability that you win?
  • Win or Lose?
    problem

    Win or lose?

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    A gambler bets half the money in his pocket on the toss of a coin, winning an equal amount for a head and losing his money if the result is a tail. After 2n plays he has won exactly n times. Has he more money than he started with?
  • Thank your Lucky Stars
    problem

    Thank your lucky stars

    Age
    14 to 16
    Challenge level
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    A counter is placed in the bottom right hand corner of a grid. You toss a coin and move the star according to the following rules: ... What is the probability that you end up in the top left-hand corner of the grid?
  • Taking Chances
    problem

    Taking chances

    Age
    11 to 14
    Challenge level
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    This article, for students and teachers, is mainly about probability, the mathematical way of looking at random chance and is a shorter version of Taking Chances Extended.
  • Can't find a coin?
    problem

    Can't find a coin?

    Age
    11 to 14
    Challenge level
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    Can you generate a set of random results? Can you fool the random simulator?
  • Domino Pick
    problem

    Domino pick

    Age
    5 to 7
    Challenge level
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    Are these domino games fair? Can you explain why or why not?
  • Two and One
    problem

    Two and one

    Age
    5 to 7
    Challenge level
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    Terry and Ali are playing a game with three balls. Is it fair that Terry wins when the middle ball is red?