An introductory video to the Probability and Evidence collection
99% of people who have measles have spots. Ben has spots. Do you think he has measles?
Headlines sometimes distort the truth. Read about how micromorts can be used to compare the risks of different activities.
When you're on trial for murder, it can be crucial that the court understands probability...
I'd be very surprised if I had three children all with the same birthday, but I read in the paper that it happened to one family...
DNA profiling is an invaluable tool for the police. However, when it comes to probability, things aren't always as straightforward as they seem.
In 1% of cases, an HIV test gives a positive result for someone who is HIV negative. How likely is it that someone who tests positive has HIV?