You may also like

Knock-out

Before a knockout tournament with 2^n players I pick two players. What is the probability that they have to play against each other at some point in the tournament?

Squash

If the score is 8-8 do I have more chance of winning if the winner is the first to reach 9 points or the first to reach 10 points?

Snooker

A player has probability 0.4 of winning a single game. What is his probability of winning a 'best of 15 games' tournament?

Voting Paradox

Age 14 to 18
Challenge Level

mccain
obama clinton Some relationships are transitive , such as `if A> B and B> C then it follows that A> C', but some relationships are intransitive , for example if A likes B and B likes C it does not necessarily follow that A likes C.

In a voting system, if A beats B and B beats C we might reasonably expect A to beat C.

In this example there are 3 candidates for election. The voters have to rank them in order of preference. Consider the case where 3 voters cast the following votes: ABC, BCA and CAB. In the sense that one candidate is preferred to another :

A beats B by 2 choices to 1.
B beats C by 2 choices to 1
but A loses to C, again by 2 choices to 1.

Three voters go to vote in this election and have to rank the candidates. First, check you agree that each voter has six possible ways in which they can do this.

Assuming the voters are just as likely to rank them in one order as another, what is the probability that they all vote in a way that results in a paradoxical (intransitive) outcome?