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Gambling at Monte Carlo

A man went to Monte Carlo to try and make his fortune. Is his strategy a winning one?

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Marbles and Bags

Two bags contain different numbers of red and blue marbles. A marble is removed from one of the bags. The marble is blue. What is the probability that it was removed from bag A?

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Win or Lose?

A gambler bets half the money in his pocket on the toss of a coin, winning an equal amount for a head and losing his money if the result is a tail. After 2n plays he has won exactly n times. Has he more money than he started with?

How Risky is My Diet?

Age 11 to 16 Challenge Level:

Prof Spiegelhalter's website, Understanding Uncertainty, has an interactivity that may be useful when considering ideas of relative and absolute risk.