### Rain or Shine

Predict future weather using the probability that tomorrow is wet given today is wet and the probability that tomorrow is wet given that today is dry.

### Knock-out

Before a knockout tournament with 2^n players I pick two players. What is the probability that they have to play against each other at some point in the tournament?

### Squash

If the score is 8-8 do I have more chance of winning if the winner is the first to reach 9 points or the first to reach 10 points?

# Teams

##### Age 16 to 18 Challenge Level:

A chess club has $10$ members, $4$ women and $6$ men, of whom two are brothers.

A team of $4$ members is selected to play a match. Suppose that each member has an equal chance of being selected what is the probability that both brothers are in the team and what is the probability that neither brother is in the team?

What is the probability that there are at least two women in the team and what is the probability that there are at least two men in the team?