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Resources tagged with Probability similar to Taking Chances:

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Broad Topics > Probability > Probability

Which Spinners?

Stage: 4 and 5 Challenge Level:

Can you work out which spinners were used to generate the frequency charts?

Misunderstanding Randomness

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Which of these ideas about randomness are actually correct?

Can't Find a Coin?

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Can you generate a set of random results? Can you fool the random simulator?

Tools for Thinking about Probability

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Can you design your own probability scale?
How do you describe the different parts?

What Do You Know about Probability? (2)

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

What are the likelihoods of different events when you roll a dice?

A Dicey Paradox

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Four fair dice are marked differently on their six faces. Choose first ANY one of them. I can always choose another that will give me a better chance of winning. Investigate.

Win or Lose?

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

A gambler bets half the money in his pocket on the toss of a coin, winning an equal amount for a head and losing his money if the result is a tail. After 2n plays he has won exactly n times. Has. . . .

The Random World

Stage: 3, 4 and 5

Think that a coin toss is 50-50 heads or tails? Read on to appreciate the ever-changing and random nature of the world in which we live.

Introducing Distributions

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

When five dice are rolled together which do you expect to see more often, no sixes or all sixes ?

The Lady or the Lions

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

The King showed the Princess a map of the maze and the Princess was allowed to decide which room she would wait in. She was not allowed to send a copy to her lover who would have to guess which path. . . .

Coin Lines

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

If a coin rolls and lands on a set of concentric circles what is the chance that the coin touches a line ?

An Introduction to Tree Diagrams

Stage: 3 and 4

This article explains how tree diagrams are constructed and helps you to understand how they can be used to calculate probabilities.

Interactive Spinners

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

This interactivity invites you to make conjectures and explore probabilities of outcomes related to two independent events.

Why Do People Find Probability Unintuitive and Difficult?

Stage: 2, 3, 4 and 5

Uncertain about the likelihood of unexpected events? You are not alone!

Nines and Tens

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Explain why it is that when you throw two dice you are more likely to get a score of 9 than of 10. What about the case of 3 dice? Is a score of 9 more likely then a score of 10 with 3 dice?

In a Box

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Chris and Jo put two red and four blue ribbons in a box. They each pick a ribbon from the box without looking. Jo wins if the two ribbons are the same colour. Is the game fair?

Non-transitive Dice

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Alison and Charlie are playing a game. Charlie wants to go first so Alison lets him. Was that such a good idea?

Stop or Dare

Stage: 2, 3 and 4 Challenge Level:

All you need for this game is a pack of cards. While you play the game, think about strategies that will increase your chances of winning.

Red or Black Spinner

Stage: Early years, 1, 2, 3 and 4 Challenge Level:

A simple spinner that is equally likely to land on Red or Black. Useful if tossing a coin, dropping it, and rummaging about on the floor have lost their appeal. Needs a modern browser; if IE then at. . . .

Fixing the Odds

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

You have two bags, four red balls and four white balls. You must put all the balls in the bags although you are allowed to have one bag empty. How should you distribute the balls between the two. . . .

Game of PIG - Sixes

Stage: 2, 3, 4 and 5 Challenge Level:

Can you beat Piggy in this simple dice game? Can you figure out Piggy's strategy, and is there a better one?

Squaring the Circle

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Bluey-green, white and transparent squares with a few odd bits of shapes around the perimeter. But, how many squares are there of each type in the complete circle? Study the picture and make. . . .

Racing Odds

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

In a race the odds are: 2 to 1 against the rhinoceros winning and 3 to 2 against the hippopotamus winning. What are the odds against the elephant winning if the race is fair?

Do You Feel Lucky?

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Some people offer advice on how to win at games of chance, or how to influence probability in your favour. Can you decide whether advice is good or not?

396

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

The four digits 5, 6, 7 and 8 are put at random in the spaces of the number : 3 _ 1 _ 4 _ 0 _ 9 2 Calculate the probability that the answer will be a multiple of 396.

Heavy Hydrocarbons

Stage: 4 and 5 Challenge Level:

Explore the distribution of molecular masses for various hydrocarbons

Scratch Cards

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

To win on a scratch card you have to uncover three numbers that add up to more than fifteen. What is the probability of winning a prize?

Con Tricks

Stage: 3

Here are some examples of 'cons', and see if you can figure out where the trick is.

What's the Point of Squash?

Stage: 4 and 5 Challenge Level:

Under which circumstances would you choose to play to 10 points in a game of squash which is currently tied at 8-all?

From A Random World to a Rational Universe

Stage: 2, 3 and 4

In the time before the mathematical idea of randomness was discovered, people thought that everything that happened was part of the will of supernatural beings. So have things changed?

Perfect Eclipse

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Use trigonometry to determine whether solar eclipses on earth can be perfect.

Twenty20

Stage: 2, 3 and 4 Challenge Level:

Fancy a game of cricket? Here is a mathematical version you can play indoors without breaking any windows.