Let
be the number of seats in the aircraft;
be the number of tickets sold;
be the probability that any given passenger arrives for the flight.
Let
be the number of passengers that arrrive for a given flight.
Then
has the Binomial distribution for
trials with
the probability of success 0.95. You can calculate the mean
and variance
for this distribution.
In order to avoid lengthy calculations in the discrete case we
approximate the Binomial distribution by a Normal distribution
with the same mean and variance, i.e. by
Thus we now assume that
has distribution
. In order to
use the standard Normal probability tables
we have to put
then
has distribution
.
So as to allow for the approximation to the discrete data by the continuous
Normal distribution, we want to find
] and look up the
probability for the corresponding value of
in the Normal table.
If you use a Normal distribution table you need to check to see if it gives
the area
under the Normal curve to the left of
, that is the
probability that the variable is less than
, or to the right of
.