By The Editor:
This is (nearly) unedited. The discussion is very
wide ranging, and has been
split up for archiving purposes, but the original remains here in case it is
of interest.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Wednesday, October 18, 2000 -
11:17 pm:
Hi all,
I have noticed that many of the math helpers in the Nrich forum seem to be
mathematical students from Cambridge University colleges. I have a few
questions. How is it like to do maths at Cambridge? What are the good things
you gain from the math course? Do you do more pure work tham mechanics or visa
versa? Does the work sometime go over your own head? If so do you get it
cleared with other students and teachers? How often do you take internal
tests? How did you get into Cambridge? How did your interviews go? Were they
difficult? What kind of questions did they asked you? Were you able to answer
them alright? Did you make any mistakes? How did the interviewers aid you to
show your potential within the interview time? Does any extra reading help you
do better in the interview?
If you have any particular interests in maths can you do your own extra work
and research? Is anyone here interested in pursuing a career in research in
AI? I would like to know.
I hope no one takes any offence at any of these questions. I'm just
querious ;) HAL2001 Best Regards HAL2001
By Kerwin Hui (Kwkh2) on Wednesday, October 18, 2000 -
11:51 pm:
Hi, Hal2001
First of all, I have to say that the questions for interview can be found in
the thread
Do you think Cambridge (or indeed Oxford) is elitist?
under Open Discussion.
Now for the other questions: For the first year, there seems to be a good
balance of pure and applied maths. One can choose to specialise later on, but
it obviously does not hurt for learning more before you specialise. You can
find out more about Maths in Cambridge in the
CU Undergraduate prospectus.
Studying Mathematics here in Cambridge is in a rather relax atmosphere, but
information will not be spoon-fed to you as in school.
Kerwin
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Wednesday, October 18, 2000
- 11:54 pm:
First of all, note that there are some previous
discussions about this sort of thing, if you go digging in the archives,
ironically the discussion called ''Are Oxford and Cambridge elitist'' might be
useful to you.
Now for your questions: doing maths at Cambridge is great if you like to
challenge yourself mathematically. You can do as much pure / applied as you
like, although in the first couple of years you have to do quite a lot of
both, you can specialise in your third / fourth year, I'm only doing pure this
year for instance (3rd yr). Almost nobody will be in a position that the work
doesn't go over their head at some point (there are exceptions, although I'm
not one of them), usually this isn't too much of a problem as you get lots of
almost one on one supervision with very clever people. Internal tests? Um,
end of year exams, and mock exams in the middle of the first year IIRC. The
interviews vary, I found mine very difficult, others I talked to seemed to
have had easier ones. My impression (and the impression of lots of other
people when we discussed this before) is that they test potential rather well,
not relying on your knowing lots of theory before you go there. My interview
had lots of matrix questions (exponentials of matrices and complex numbers),
and I hadn't even studied matrices except at GCSE level, but I still managed
to get in. I would recommend extra reading, as it certainly won't be a bad
thing. Basically, you should definitely apply if you want to.
If you're interested in AI, you might also consider applying to do
maths+computer science, you get to do some computer stuff in your first year,
and you can then change to do either computer science or maths in the
subsequent years. You can certainly try and do research or extra work, but
you'll probably have enough work to do doing the sheets. There's always the
(very long) holidays though.
Hope that helped...
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Thursday, October 19, 2000 -
03:13 pm:
Thank you Kerwin and Dan for your posts. Much appreciated!
I had a read of the previous post on the contraversial topic of Oxford and
Cam being elitist. I am of the opinion, from the majority of postings at
nrich, the people seem to be down to earth ppl with a love for maths. And if
thats elitist, let it be so. ;)
Any recommendations on any math books that you've ppl like? I reckon you math
CAM circle ppl have read some nice gems.
Signing Out... HAL2001
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Thursday, October 19, 2000 -
04:30 pm:
Well, the books I read were quite good,
''Godel, Escher, Bach'' by Doug Hofstadter (of particular interest to you as
he is an AI researcher), ''Mathematics, the New Golden Age'' by Keith Devlin.
I never read anything by Ian Stewart, but I think he's supposed to be quite
good too, maybe someone else can verify that.
By Tom Hardcastle (P2477) on Thursday, October 19,
2000 - 05:19 pm:
Ian Stewart is very good.
Cambridge will supply you with a reading list if you write and ask them, or I
could type out a list of authors and titles. Their reading list gives a
description of each book as well though; I'm afraid I'm not really feeling
generous enough to offer to type out that.
Tom
By Marion Palles-Clark (Mhp21) on Thursday, October
19, 2000 - 05:29 pm:
There is a reading list on the maths
department webpage, try
reading list
Marion
By Brad Rodgers (P1930) on Thursday, October 19, 2000
- 08:43 pm:
One good book is ''A Mathematician's Apology'' by G. H. Hardy.
Also, ''Ideas and Opinions'' by Albert Einstein is good, although I'm afraid
it isn't based primarily around maths.
Brad
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Friday, October 20, 2000 -
04:32 pm:
Thanks Dan, Tom, Marion and Brad for your suggestions!
I shall look up the books through Amazon.co.uk. They seem to have some good brief reviews of many books. So, I'll check it
out.
Has anyone seen the movie called Pi?
Thanks once again. HAL2001
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Friday, October 20, 2000 -
04:43 pm:
Hi again,
If anyone know of any other AI related books I would appreciate it if any
suggestion could be made. (Dan - thanks for the book suggestion- i'll look
it up)
If you know of any teachers/lecturers/students who are interestedin AI, maybe
you could badger them for some recomendations! Both technical and
non-technical books.
Regards HAL2k+1
By Sean Hartnoll (Sah40) on Friday, October 20, 2000
- 06:04 pm:
Two non-technical books on the mathematical and
physical aspects of AI are The Emperor's New Mind and the sequel Shadows of
the Mind by Roger Penrose.
Sean
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Friday, October 20, 2000 -
07:23 pm:
Although I have to mention that although
Penrose's books are very interesting and worth reading, they are quite hard.
I just read a book vaguely to do with AI which I don't recommend called
''Fuzzy Logic'' (I can't remember the authors). Marcus Hill recommended
''The Uncertain Reasoner's Companion'' for reading about this topic, not
strictly AI, but it has some relation I think.
By Marcus Hill (T3280) on Saturday, October 21, 2000
- 12:07 am:
I wouldn't recommend ''The Uncertain Reasoner's Companion'' to
anyone who hasn't done some logic and some probability theory, it's intended
as a reference and introduction for higher level study and research (late in a
degree course or in postgraduate work).
''Godel, Escher, Bach'' was, quite possibly, a book that shaped my life - it
inspired me to look into logic, and I ended up with a doctorate in it. I would
also recommend another book by Hofstadter on the same kind of topic,
''The Mind's I''. You could also pick up some of Martin Gardner's books -
the collections of his Scientific American columns make great mathematical
bedtime reading, and give accessible insights into a wide variety of
different topics. Two of the collections whose titles I can remember off the
top of my head are ''Knotted Doughtnuts and Other Mathematical Entertainments''
and ''Time Travel and Other Mathematical Bewilderments''.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Saturday, October 21, 2000 -
08:17 am:
Thanks for the book suggestions Sean, Dan and Marcus.
I've ordered a copy of Gdel, Escher, Back. The review for the book seem to be
impressive. Until I get my copy, anyone care elaborate more? Was'nt Escher the
artist?? How is this related to maths, logic and AI? I have also ordered a
few by Martin Gardner. I looked at www.Sciam.com (Scientific Americian) but
could not find any of his articles there. Anyone know of any online
depositaries of his work I could read?
Marcus, how long did it take you to get a doctorate? What was the doctorate
specifically in? In a branch of maths I guess? Did you enjoy it? What scope
does it bring to your future in terms of career etc. Would you recommend it
doing a doctorate?
Regards HAL2001
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Saturday, October 21, 2000 -
08:27 am:
Is Deep Blue (the IBM chess playing thing) considered an AI
application? By the way, it is the software that they are naming Deep Blue,
and not the hardware that it runs on I gather. I would have thought that a
chess playing software can't better itself, the essence of what you would want
to achieve in pure AI. So implying Deep Blue is just smart coding
(mathematically deep!?)and not AI?
Has anyone used the AI bot at www.AliceBot.org, I think that specifically is
not AI either??? How can really pure AI be acheieved, if at all. Can a machine
really achieve 'self-conscienceness' or a 'soul', like human beings I guess.
Or is that not needed to be branded Intelliegent?
HAL2k+1
By Mrs. Toni Beardon (Lab11) on Saturday, October 21,
2000 - 10:07 am:
This is cool. It is good to see such an interest in
maths not only evidenced by threads of conversation like this but by the
tremendous response from young people to all sections of NRICH.
If you want to read online the best new popular articles on mathematics then
go to
The Mathematical Association of
America Current Columns.
You will find the latest by Ivars Peterson, Keith Devlin, Alex Bogomolny,
Frank Morgan et al. and a rich archive of past columns, great stuff!
Also don't forget Plus, a new edition was
published a few days ago.
Enjoy!
Toni
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Saturday, October 21, 2000
- 11:49 am:
I think that I'd say that Deep Blue isn't an AI
application, because there is very little resembling intelligence there. The
reason it's so good at chess is that it can do an astonishing number of
computations per second. I think that true AI can be achieved, but that it'll
be awhile, and we might not understand it when we've made it. The question of
consciousness and soul is an interesting one, and there is a lot of heated
debate on either side of the argument. Some of the major proponents of the
''Computers can be conscious'' opinion are Doug Hofstadter (who wrote Godel,
Escher, Bach), Daniel Dennet and (I think) Chalmers as well. On the other side
of the coin there is Roger Penrose, John Searle and others. Any of these
people are worth reading, but none of them have any truly convincing
arguments.
By Mrs. Toni Beardon (Lab11) on Saturday, October 21,
2000 - 12:00 pm:
Someone I know says his ambition is to live long
enough to work with a computer that is proud of him.
Toni
By Sean Hartnoll (Sah40) on Saturday, October 21,
2000 - 03:53 pm:
It really depebds on what you call AI. Certainly
the people working on neural networks, expert systems and the like wold
consider themselves as working in AI and this is the sort of stuff we find in
the text books. They count as AI because they reproduce artificially some
function that we perform with our brains, say making decisions based on
inconclusive evidence (such as diagnostics in medicine) and predicting things
and larn from mistakes. There are two approachs, expert systems attempt to
reproduce results we might have ascribed to intelligence but make no attempt
to mimic the way intelligence works, so there is a front that looks
intelligent but the working is clearly not, such is the case of Deep Blue. The
other, bottom-up attempts to start from modelling the brain, these are neural
networks.
However, all these things are only good at one particular area, one skill.
The multifunction intelligent robot like those in the Asimov books is not on
the cards in the foreseeable future, I don't think anyone has any idea how to
even begin designing one. And as Dan said we might not even recognise it when
we see it. We don't even understand how our own brain works, we don't
understand if consciousness even means anything when applied to people, so
you can just imagine how hard it would be to build something...
Sean
By Tom Hardcastle (P2477) on
Saturday, October 21, 2000 - 04:35 pm:
If you want to have a look at some AI, there's a computer game
called Creatures which has little characters whose behaviour is governed by a
developing neural network and a genetic code. There's a system of rewards and
punishments so that you can train them. Some quite odd things can be made to
happen: one of the creators tells a story about two creatures learning how to
play catch with each other and I've had one that does everything asleep.
There are currently three versions, Creatures, Creatures 2 and Creatures 3,
with rising costs, but Creatures can be picked up for about £5 now.
Tom.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Saturday, October 21, 2000 -
09:56 pm:
Thanks Mrs Beardon for your input and the links. I'll check
them out!
Tom, do you have the link or details of where I can get this AI app that you
described?
I now also agree that Deep Blue is not pure AI. But surely the techniques and
theory created in devoloping small 'singular' thinking progs that do things
better than their creators (ie us- the humans) is a step in the right
direction to the eventual pure AI 'thing'. In my view, an AI app needs to be
built around thinking processes, maybe something not related to reality
(ie chair, face, book, place, guilt etc) but a reality of numbers balancing or
an inbalance of numbers. Letting some element of 'randomness' involved in the
decision processing task. The final hack should be that allows the AI 'thing'
to outthink its creator and lead a independent life, setting its own goals
and tasks as we humans do. You can think of them as our future children?!
I hope my thoughts are not too cluttered, but I simply put what came to mind
of my feeling towards AI.
Regards HAL2001
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Saturday, October 21, 2000 -
10:03 pm:
Can I just add that I think when we make the break though in into
'real' AI, it will be by a mathematician! ;)
HAL2k+1
By Brad Rodgers (P1930) on Saturday, October 21, 2000
- 11:44 pm:
In regards to How escher is related to AI and maths, he based a
lot of his ideas around geometric paradoxes and shapes (I think he made a very
famous version of the Mobius Strip). Also, he believed that the route of
explaining consiousness lied within self reference(see his [very famous]
artwork in which one hand draws the hand that it drawing itself, or his one
wiht three spheres), which has much to do with AI.
As far as whether computers can ever emulate human consciousness, AI is far
from what I know well, but I don't think so. Given current notions of
causualty, the only way to achieve self-awareness is through infinite
regression or a paradox. The infinite regresion is because a possible way to
achieve conscious is thought A is detected by thought B, which is detected by
thought C, ad infinitum. This leads to never achieving consciousness. The
example of a paradox conscious is through thought A being detected by thought
B, and thought B being detected by thought A. but close examination reveals
that this means that A must precede B, and B must precede A: a paradox (one
exacly analogous to Escher's drawing). So, until someone comes up wiht
another way for consciousness, I don't see how it can be replicated. If
anyone else has any thoughts on the matter, I would really enjoy hearing them,
as the matter of a conscious mind is something I've been pondering in great
detail since the discussion ''An Irrelavent Question'', parts one and two.
Thanks,
Brad
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Sunday, October 22, 2000 -
12:04 am:
Well, certainly programs like Deep Blue are not
useless, research into these techniques greatly improves expert systems and
the like which have all sorts of uses as described by Sean above. Whether or
not they're a step towards true AI is another matter, it might be, as I
suspect, that true AI requires a whole new paradigm.
To Brad, your argument for why computers can never emulate human
consciousness is, I think, flawed because it also applies to humans, and we
know that we do have consciousness. Also, ''emulate human consciousness'' is a
very loaded phrase, using the word ''emulate'' somewhat suggests that you've
already written off the possibility that it could have its own genuine
consciousness.
By Sean Hartnoll (Sah40) on Sunday, October 22, 2000 -
12:30 am:
The last point is important, systems like Deep
Blue are perhaps more of a red herring than a step in the direction of
genuine intelligence because there is no attempt to build something that can
works internally as something we might consider intelligent would.
I'm not so sure it would be a mathematician... My bets would be on a
neuroscientist, computer scientist or physicist. The first two perhaps for
obvious reasons and the third because it may be (and this is what Penrose's
books are about) the quantum mechanics (or even quantum gravity!!) is
important for a complete understanding of the brain. Mathematicians do not
generally make the best scientists, especially when it is a 'messy' science
like neuroscience.
Sean
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Sunday, October 22, 2000 -
01:09 am:
I'm inclined to agree with Sean that it won't
be a mathematician, although it might well be someone with mathematical
training.
By Brad Rodgers (P1930) on Sunday, October 22, 2000 -
05:02 am:
What I'm saying though, is that it will be hard to ''write up a
program'' with a consciousness or even create a machine with a consciousness
because we have no idea how we have a consciousness, and the two most probable
ways to explain it result in either a paradox, or a lack of causation. So,
perhaps it is right that the consciousness lies in quantum mechanics, but how
then would we have control (or even an illusion of control, for that matter)
over our own thoughts. Furthermore, wouldn't quantum mechanics neccessarily
have to incorporate time travel to allude the paradox of self-reference in my
non-infinite explanation for the conscious mind? And, wouldn't this make us
in control of quantum mechanics?
Brad
By Tom Hardcastle (P2477) on Sunday, October 22, 2000
- 11:29 am:
Hal, the link to the official site is
http://www.creatures.co.uk/. As far as I
know, you can't buy the program there, so you've got a walk round your local
computer games stores, or a trawl through the internet.
Personally, I'm inclined to believe that a neural network is sufficient for
intelligence and conciousness.
Tom.
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Sunday, October 22, 2000 -
01:58 pm:
Brad, I guess that there are two possibilities;
consciousness is a property (in some way) of specific sorts or arrangements of
matter OR consciousness is a property of systems with sufficient algorithmic
complexity in some way. We really have no way of knowing which is true, or
whether it's another possibility entirely. If it's the former, then no piece
of software can be conscious, which doesn't rule out the possibility of machine
consciousness, it just rules out ''consciousness on your PC''. However, if it's
the latter, ''consciousness on your PC'' (perhaps Microsoft ConsciousEntityTM)
is a possibility.
There's the related question of whether or not consciousness is an emergent
property or not, i.e. whether it can affect physical events (not emergent) or
whether it is just a byproduct of the action of certain sorts of systems.
By Brad Rodgers (P1930) on Sunday, October 22, 2000 -
04:37 pm:
Another interesting property of consciousness is that it could be
a product of a metaphysical realm, rather than just physical realm. At current,
I am very inclined to believe that it exists entirely by physical laws, but
there is nothing ruling out the other possiblity...
Brad
By Marcus Hill (T3280) on Sunday, October 22, 2000 -
06:00 pm:
Hi, Hal (and the rest of you).
This is a great discussion, on a topic which has always interested me hugely.
The nature of consciousness is the central theme in ''Godel, Escher, Bach'',
and Hofstadter uses the common theme of recusrion and self reference in
Godel's proof of his incompleteness theorem, Escher's art (such as the self
drawing hands) and Bach's music (notably his canons) to illustrate his
ideas.
Consciousness itself is hard to define, let alone detect in another entity.
It is easy for me to convince myself that I am conscious. It is harder for me
to say that (for example) any of you are conscious, rather than sophisticated
text parsing bots. We tend to assume that people we know to be flesh and blood
human beings are conscious, but we really do that by comparison to ourselves -
''you are human, I am human, I am conscious, therefore I infer that you are
conscious''. One famous criterion for consciousness (or, as it is usually put,
intelligence) is the Turing test. In case you are unaware of it, what you do
is converse with two entities via a textual or other indirect interface. The
communication is completely free, you can ask whatever you like of either
entity. Their objective is to convince you that they are human. There are a
couple of problems with the test. Firstly, text parsing bots are becoming
increasingly sophisticated - some can fool a decent percentage (30 or 40 last
time I looked) of people interacting with them over the Internet (bear in mind
one of the central tenets of my life, though - ''People Are Stupid''). These
bots are things nobody could classify as intelligent - they are at best
''conversation expert systems''. The second problem is that we are here
defining ''intelligent'' as ''like us''. It is not difficult to envisage some
alien who is as intelligent as we are, completely conscious with a sense of
morality and any other paraphenalia you care to hang on the notion of
personhood, and who is also totally incapable of passing the Turing test,
since its intelligence is simply different from ours.
On the other hand, it is easy to dismiss some intelligent behaviour as merely
''simulating'' intelligence. An example I recall form GEB is of a (ficticious)
argument that women are not conscious, since they do not think, they have
internal processes different from real conscious beings' - they ''womansee''
things, ''womanthink'' about them and come up with responses that, although
identical to those of people who really see and think, are a product of mere
mechanistic processes, not conscious thought. It is actually not possible to
prove the falsity of this to a man - and a woman claiming it to be false is
producing the effects of ''womanthought'', so this is not proof at all. Now
change ''woman'' to ''AI'' and you can see the difficulty of defining
''consciousness'' as having to happen in a meat brain (as opposed to a male
brain).
It's a thorny problem, and not one which will be solved until we have an AI
which is generally acknowledged as intelligent - which is to say, I guess,
that my answer to the question ''What is true intelligence?'' is ''We'll know
it when we see it.''
As to my own research, Hal, it was in the area of reasoning under
uncertainty - mathematically modelling an intelligent (whatever that means!)
entity reaching rational decisions based on information containing a degree of
uncertainty. For example, you have some ideas about the likely times it will
take to make a journey via certain routes, and of the probabilities of there
being major delays due to accidents on those routes, and must choose the best
route to take. Other applications include computerised screening of cell
samples to determine whether a human should look at them to determine whether
they show the presence of cancer. As for the usefulness for my own career...
well, I've gone back to my other love, teaching. A PhD isn't something you do
to increase your earning potential, IMO - it takes at least three years
(often overrunning into a fourth, with you having to work to support yourself
unfunded), and three years' experience is much more valuable. On the other
hand, I hugely enjoyed mine (in retrospect - it was really tough at times!),
and I would say it's worth it to anyone with a love for their subject.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Sunday, October 22, 2000 -
08:00 pm:
Thanks Tom! for the link, I'll check it out.
Brad, Dan, Sean - thanks for sharing your carefully placed out thoughts. AI
does indeed interest me and I think the amount of locked potential that could
reap benefits for mankind is huge.
Marcus, thanks for your open enlightening post. Are you considering to
further research in the field of AI or reasoning under uncertainty? If so
when and with what type of a team? I can see a ?possible? future for me in the
field of AI research (in whatever form that may take). I want maths to give me
the technical rigor that I feel will be essential in any field of research
I might peruse.
The note where we talked about who would the AI breakthrough, my opinion is
reformed after reading the above posts, and I feel that a mixture of people
with varying expertise in various areas will be the people that possibly
makes the AI breakthrough. Team of researchers: mathematicians,
neuroscientists, philosophers, computer scientists and an artist.
Marcus, after you take a degree in maths what is the next step towards doing a
PhD? What all do you have to accomplish to get your PhD? How flexible is it
in terms of the research that you are allowed to do? Are you allowed to do
the research for a company and then use it for your PhD? I guess then you can
get all three, 1.money/financial stability and 2.the satisfaction that the
research brings you, finally, 3.Possible job security at the company for
whom you did the research for. What do you think? Also, what type of companies
would allow their reseach team double as students doing their PhD in the field
that they are doing research for the company as well.?
Yesterday I recived some of the Martin Gardner book I ordered. I look forward
to reading them. Thank you everyone who told me about Mr Gardners books! I
also should be getting the GEB book later this week.
Regards HAL2001
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Monday, October 23, 2000 -
05:10 pm:
I was wondering... What kind of applications could a real AI 'thing' be used for. How will it
help us lead better lives?
HAL2k+1
By Marcus Hill (T3280) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
12:31 am:
Hi again, Hal.
In my case, the route from first degree to PhD was mainly through knowing the
right people and being in the right place at the right time. If you get a good
degree, it's not too hard to be accepted onto an MSc or PhD course, the tough
thing, especially in pure mathematics, is getting funding. I was lucky enough
to be in a position where late funding came up and I was in a position to take
advantage of it. As for my own future as a researcher, I may develop one or
two more ideas from my thesis with my supervisors for publication (one is in
the works as we speak), but realistically my full time teaching job takes up
the vast majority of my time.
Incidentally, I would tend to agree that a cross disciplinary team is the
most likely contender for a big AI breakthrough.
More generally, on the higher degree front, things are really quite flexible.
As I said before, getting on a course is relatively easy compared to getting
funding. Funding sources include the Government (via the research councils,
for most of Maths that'd be the EPSRC, who funded me) either funding you as
a student or your project as an entity in its own right; private research
grants (few and far between, for the best projects only); and private
companies, who would generally expect your research to directly or indirectly
benefit them and for you to work for them during your studentship. As far as
the actual project is concerned, if you can find someone who will supervise
you, it's really wide open. My best advice is to find out more about the
people doing the kind of research you're interested in - who is publishing in
the topics you like? Find out where these people work and see if they will
take you as a student. Don't narrow your search too much - a supervisor only
needs to understand and be able to help you with your project, you don't
need to be extending his or her central research. Of course, if you're after
industrial funding (and the higher paid world of industrial research as
opposed to academia after you finish your thesis) you need to coordinate your
choice of project with the funding company.
Technically, what you have to accomplish to be awarded a PhD is ''a
significant and original contribution to the sum of human knowledge''.
I've tried and failed for some time to elaborate on that without coming over
as either bragging or being falsely modest, so I won't say any more on the
matter.
By Tom Hardcastle (P2477) on Tuesday, October 24,
2000 - 02:07 am:
Hal, rather depressingly, the only applications of AI that I've
heard about, apart from web bots and gaming, are military. For example, the
company that produces Creatures is also working on using neural networks to
pilot fighter planes. Fortunately, there seems to be a happy incompetence in the armed forces; one
program was set up to use neural networks to spot camouflaged tanks, they took
photos of scenes with tanks in and without and fed them through the network.
It seemed to be working, until they tried a new set of photos and discovered
that in the initial set of photos, the ones containing tanks had been taken
on a different day to the ones without...so the neural network was able to
tell whether there was a tank there or not by whether or not the sky was
cloudy.
Tom
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
11:54 am:
Tom, I am not exactly sure (as you and many of the other in this
nrich forum might agree too) that AI should not aid and albit to the progress
of war arsenal (like the highly popularised einstien and the atom bomb did for
WW2). Science helped the destruction of thousands (or even in the long run
millions) of innocent people :( If you were offered money by the military to
carry out AI research, you would probably say yes, simple becuase of the
money, it'll allow you to carry out your passion. But in the long run your
work could/?will? be used to kill other human beings. This is very disturbing.
Then again the same can be said for so many other things in life....
Marcus, what do you consider a good degree? Please don't hesitate to answer,
you won't offend anyone, because you are stating opinions and everyone is
entitled to one, I think, in most parts of the world.
How much in terms of cost are we looking at in funding a PhD? Do ppl often
stop half way through a PhD because of the climbing costs? If so what happens
to all the work and effort they put in?
Do you know of any ppl wheelchair bound who have succeeded in obtaining
funding for PhD or research in the area of Mathematics (or AI related). Do
they find any descrimination against them simply becuase of their disability?
I would be interested to know.
Another thing I have been wondering is the following: I have always wanted to
do research in a field of mathematics. Though it would be very satisfying to
follow your heart and passion, the general message I get is that they are much
under paid, and ppl don't employ them when they finally want to get a job
(for reason I have no idea). What is myth and what is fact? No one can deny
that they would not like to earn more money than they do. So what do ppl who
have been trained by the rigor of academia find if they go into industrial
research? Is it worth it?? And can they do the transition from academia
(driven be the passion of their field) to (the money driven) industry?
Anyone else contemplating doing a PhD? What are your thoughts?
Regards HAL2001
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
02:13 pm:
Tom, that story is as old as the hills, my Dad
told me that one years ago, and I'm sure that he must have heard about it at
least 15 years before he told me. However, I agree with your thesis, remember
those guided missiles which almost all missed their targets? I think it was
either in Serbia recently or in Iraq longer ago.
Hal, a good example of a wheelchair bound guy getting a PhD would be...
Stephen Hawking, co-discoverer of Black Holes, world-renowned popular
scientist!
Also, I'm thinking of doing a PhD, unfortunately (unlike you) I don't know
what I'd like to do it in yet.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
02:57 pm:
sorry posted below!
By Anonymous on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 - 03:03
pm:
http://www.hawking.org.uk/
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
03:05 pm:
Prof. Stephen Hawking got his PhD after he was wheelchair bound,
is this true? I think. I also read that his PhD was about Black Holes, is that
true? I think I read it in a edition of Readers Digest a few years back, my
memory on that reading is not quite 100 theoretical physist/cosmologist, are there many wheelchair bound PhD in
mathematics in the UK? I would be interested to know. I have tremendous amount
of respect for Proff. Stephen Hawking, he blatently never allows his
disability to get in the way of his passion - cosmology. He is an inspiration
to us all.
Dan, though I am still a long way off from doing a PhD in anything, my
personal view is that is good to think ahead, thats one of the reasons I want
hear what other ppl think about doing PhD, so that mistakes can be learned
from other ppls hard earned experience.
Also Dan, even though you have not made a decision on what exact area you may
do your PhD in, what area of math are you thinking in doing a PhD in?
Is it common or uncommon for ppl to tackle PhD after their degree, what makes
ppl choose to go into industry rather than continue academia? Is the pull
simply the money? Pls don't flame me for this question, just interested in
what other mathematician think.
Does the education background of your parents/family influence on what you
acheieve at higher education and your curiousity levels? Is your potential
stunted simply becuase your family has not bkground of academia? Or is this
complete nonsense?
Regards HAL2001
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
03:08 pm:
Thank you Anon for the Hawking link!
Regards HAL2001
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
06:14 pm:
Hal, not yet, although it'll probably be
something in the pure
maths line. My two main interests at the moment are in metamathematics (set
theory, logic, computability, decidability, etc.) and geometric stuff like
topology, complex analysis, etc.
As far as I know, there are two main reasons for doing industrial research;
the money is one, the other is the feeling of doing something a bit more
practical, that will have an actual effect.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
06:36 pm:
When you choose to do your PhD, do you choose something (a
branch of math) that you like/enjoy doing, or something that you scored very
high in exams? I guess this is a contradictory statement, as, if you can do
it well you normally enjoy it too.
You know of any math jokes?
Regards HAL2001
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
06:54 pm:
I think you choose something you like doing from
the set of things you can do well :).
You probably won't get this one for a few years, but here goes:
Let
.
Other ones:
Q: What did the constipated mathematician do? A: He worked it out with a pencil.
Q: What did the very constipated mathematician do? A: He used logs.
Q: Why did the chicken cross the Möbius strip? A: To get to the same side.
Some say the pope is the greatest cardinal. But others insist this cannot be so, as every pope has a successor.
Another favourite:
A mathematician went insane and believed that he was the differentiation
operator. His friends had him placed in a mental hospital until he got better.
All day he would go around frightening the other patients by staring at them
and saying ''I differentiate you!''
One day he met a new patient; and true to form he stared at him and said
''I differentiate you!'', but for once, his victim's expression didn't change.
Surprised, the mathematician marshalled his energies, stared fiercely at the
new patient and said loudly ''I differentiate you!'', but still the other man
had no reaction. Finally, in frustration, the mathematician screamed out
''I DIFFERENTIATE YOU!'' The new patient calmly looked up and said, ''You can differentiate me all you
like: I'm e to the x.''
A really bad one:
Two mathematicians are in a bar. The first one says to the second that the
average person knows very little about basic mathematics. The second one
disagrees, and claims that most people can cope with a reasonable amount of
math.
The first mathematician goes off to the washroom, and in his absence the
second calls over the waitress. He tells her that in a few minutes, after his
friend has returned, he will call her over and ask her a question. All she has
to do is answer one third x cubed.
She repeats ''one thir - dex cue''? He repeats ''one third x cubed''. Her: `one thir dex cuebd'? Yes, that's right, he says. So she agrees, and
goes off mumbling to herself, ''one thir dex cuebd...''.
The first guy returns and the second proposes a bet to prove his point, that
most people do know something about basic math. He says he will ask the blonde
waitress an integral, and the first laughingly agrees. The second man calls
over the waitress and asks ''What is the integral of x squared?''. The waitress says ''one third x cubed'' and while walking away, turns back
and says over her shoulder ''plus a constant!''
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
08:08 pm:
lol - good ones Dan! ;)
Regards HAL2001
By Tom Hardcastle (P2477) on Tuesday, October 24,
2000 - 08:35 pm:
What's the difference between an introvert and and extrovert
mathematician?
An extrovert mathematician looks at your feet when he's talking to
you.
By the way, I think I probably would refuse to work on military applications.
Call me ethical if you like.
Tom
By Brad Rodgers (P1930) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000
- 09:32 pm:
I don't know that military applications to physics or AI are
always evil. Much of the time, fighting a war must be looked at as sorrow
leading to happiness. To obtain what is right, it is sometimes neccessary to
destroy what is wrong. The way I look at some things, particularly the
A-Bomb, is that it was killing thousands to save millions.
Concerning whether parental success affects your appreciation for maths or
academia, I would say at times, but not always. While parents educated on how
to raise children can almost always make a difference to their child's
attitude towards learning (and the opposite is true for parents unconcerned
with their child), not all parents have to be involved with maths to be able
to cause an interest in maths in their children.
I'm also interested in getting a PhD. but it's still 8 years until graduate
school. So, before I commit to anything, I'd like to reiterate Hal's request
of how much does a PhD cost? And how much does the average PhD grad. make? I
would be very appreciative if anyone could answer either of these.
Thanks for your replies (and the good jokes!:))
Brad
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
09:44 pm:
What did the English Student say to the Math Student? ''Why does
one plus one equal to two?'' Why did the Math student frown? And what did he reply to the English
Student?
Sad joke really, I just made it up!
Regards HAL2001
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
09:59 pm:
Well, I'm a pacifist, so I certainly wouldn't
do any research which would lead to direct military applications (it would be
silly to try not to do any research that might possibly lead to military
applications, as almost anything could). I think it would be very difficult to
prove that bombing Hiroshima saved millions of lives, unfortunately my
knowledge of history isn't good enough for me to make the case against using
the A-bomb on Hiroshima. However the book I'm reading at the moment (Lessons
from Kosovo by Noam Chomsky) claims that the effect of bombing Serbia was to
escalate atrocities, and that moreover the people in command predicted that
this would be the likely outcome of the bombing campaign.
Brad, the cost of doing a PhD will vary depending where you did it, if you
were going to do it in America, I imagine that the cost would be different
from doing it England. I can't really help on either count, not having done
a PhD yet.
By Anonymous on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 - 10:01
pm:
'Evil' is an indefinable and pointless word. All the same,
although this post is now rather off topic I must dispute your claim that the
Atomic bomb 'killed thousands to save millions.' Certainly, for obvious
reasons, this was the claim made by the US after the war. However the allies
were winning the war. If the Americans had wanted to demonstrate the power of
the bomb they could quite easily have dropped it in a less densely populated
area. In fact they dropped it twice over extremely populated areas. I find
it hard to draw any conclusion other than that they were trying kill people
and lots of them.
Can you give any applications of technology to the military that have not
lead to more brutal and extensive destruction? Is there any reason why AI
should not lead thus?
Sorry if there was not much mathematics there, but then I suppose all
argument is mathematics of a sort.
By Marcus Hill (T3280) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000
- 11:04 pm:
Hal, the theoretical minimum degree to be accepted onto an MSc
course is a 2(ii), for a PhD it's a 2(i). However, in practice, you would
almost always need one more than those (i.e. a 2(i) for a Master's, a first
for a PhD). The actual cost you should be able to look up exactly on
Universities' websites (I expect, I haven't tried). IIRC, tuition costs are
around one to two thousand pounds a year (it's more if you go into an
experimental science). The main cost is not the tuition but the living costs
whilst you do the degree. I, not unusually, did three years fully funded
(i.e. the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council paid for both my
tuition and breadline living expenses) followed by a ''writing up year''. This
entails a nominal fee (50 to 100 pounds, I think) and no funding. You're not
supposed to be doing any more actual research, although it is not unusual
in practice for a little polishing to be done in a writing up year. During
that time it is usual to work part time to pay for living expenses - luckily,
as a qualified maths teacher, supply teaching work wasn't hard to come by for
me. Ideally, of course, you should get the thesis done in the three year
funded period, but overruning, if not the norm, is certainly so common that
no fuss is made over it.
As far as your own costs for doing a PhD are concerned, then, the only real
ones are the reduced income (the postgraduate grant, even tax free as it is,
is still less than a top flight maths graduate should be earning in industry),
unless you take the unusual step of funding the whole lot yourself, in which
case I'd put a ballpark figure of 20 to 30 thousand pounds on the
undertaking.
Yet another route is to do the PhD part time whilst holding down a full time
job. I have nothing but admiration for people who manage this - I found it
hard enough just writing up whilst working on and off.
Finally, I don't think anyone does a PhD for financial reasons. It doesn't
really get you increased earning potential in industry that you couldn't get
by working for three years (whilst earning more than a postgraduate student),
although it is the key requirement to enter academia - where you will be
underpaid for your entire career. People do PhDs because they want to do
research - not necessarily for the rest of their lives, just that one piece of
original research before going back to the real world, or, in bizarre cases,
teaching. In my case, a PhD also means I now have as many letters after my
name as there are in it, which is as good a reason as any to spend another
three years as a student :-)
By Michael Doré (P904) on Tuesday, October 24,
2000 - 11:19 pm:
Just quickly on the subject of the A-bomb: I agree with Brad that
the bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki was absolutely necessary to end WW2.
You have to remember that Japan was then in a fanatical regime, and it is
very doubtful they would have surrendered, even though they were rapidly
losing lives (and the indications are the figthing was due to get very bloody,
as the figthing was moving closer and closer to Japanese territory). The
emperor (the dictator) had more or less isolated himself from what was
happening outside. In this totalitarian regime individual lives were valued
very little (Kamikaze are well documented - they are suicide fighters - it
was found to be easier to cause mass destruction if the person causing the
destruction didn't have to escape himself, so that's what they did!) So they
were not going to surrender for rational reasons, and so the fighting would
have continued and very probably many, many more people would have been killed
on both sides. Only when the US demostrated they could, and were willing to,
use these weapons were the Japanese forced to surrender.
Before President Truman ordered the dropping the bomb, the US dropped leaflets
from aircraft informing the Japanese that they had developed a massively
destructive weapon (giving near full specifications) warning them that they'd
be forced to use it if the Japanese didn't surrender but the Japanese Emperor
either never saw this (perhaps people were too frightened to approach him -
they might have been executed) or simply didn't respond.
Furthermore there are arguments that the US should have dropped the bomb in
the sea or something like that to scare the Japanese government into
surrendering. But this was not an option for the very same reason. The
Japanese would have been forced to cover up the fact that the US had a new
super-weapon. Any other attitude would have been seen as anti- the war effort.
Therefore dropping a bomb in the sea would have been a waste of resouces -
remember U 235 was very limited in supply and was really the only hope the
US had of ending the war quickly.
It goes to show just how fanatical the regime was that even when the US had
dropped the bomb on Hiroshima the Japanese government didn't surrender, and
it took another bomb at Nagasaki before they surrendered. Does this look
like a case in which the war could have been resolved without huge loss of
life?
I know it was a pretty terrible thing (about 64,000 Japanese killed at
Hiroshima including deaths from radiation sickness later, plus about 30,000?
at Nagasaki) but I think the death toll would have been on a different
scale otherwise. (There would have been more Japanese deaths as well as
American deaths.)
Having said all this, Truman's memoirs on the subject make interesting
reading. At one point he seems to imply, if I remember correctly, that he
believed that Hiroshima and Nagasaki were not particularly densely
populated, and there was in fact a military instillation in these. Whether
this was a case of his being misinformed or trying to reconcile his actions
falliciously (after all perhaps there was a military instillation in
Hiroshima and Nagasaki, but I think he'd be kidding himself if he thought
that he was dropping the A-bomb just to destroy these) or plain deception. I
suspect not the later, as this deception would not work as there are so many
other sources of information.
I think Serbia is much a less clear cut, and I don't really know about the
pros and cons.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
11:22 pm:
Hi Marcus,
Thanks for the tips, much appreciated ;)
20-30k is a lot of money indeed! I guess that you really need to love your
research to put yourself through a PhD, I guess.
I was wondering, do you use any computer packages to write up you work? ie
to type up the math markup? If so, which package do you use. I have heard of
Maple, Mathematicia and MathCAD - but never used, yet. Are any of them free or
even open source?
Do you enjoy teaching? Just thinking Marcus, what is your full name and
title now? ;)
If you get a PhD, what are the chances and how do you go about working for
companies like IBM, Merchant Banking, Xerox PARC (if they still exist), MIT
(for research)? Do they have specific research departments for people who are
well learnered in their field, ie in our case, maths. What is the first step
to getting into one of those institutions? Has anyone here attempted
this?
Regards HAL2001
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
11:32 pm:
Hal, I think the companies you named would love
you to have a PhD in maths. The usual package used for writing up maths is
TeX or LaTeX, which can be found at
http://www.tex.ac.uk.
Michael, this is one of those arguments that can (and probably will) rage for
ever and never be answered. Can we answer the question about the ethics of
getting military funding (this would include work on number theory funded by
the NSA or GCHQ) without reference to the A-Bomb?
By Marcus Hill (T3280) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000 -
11:53 pm:
Hal, firstly to answer an important question I missed before: I
very much doubt that having a disability which does not affect the research
would make any difference to the process of getting a PhD whatsoever - in
fact, Universities now make big efforts to ensure that people with
disabilities have equal access to courses (as well as physical access to
resources).
The software used for writing up mathematical theses (and, indeed, many if not
most published mathematical papers) is LaTeX - a non-WYSIWYG text processing
system. It takes a little getting used to, but it does lots of nice things
which are beyond Word et. al. in the area of maths typesetting. I'm sure you
can look up more on the web. The software you mention can (depending on your
field) be used in actually doing the research, but not in writing it
up.
I love teaching. Although we all have our bad days, I don't think you'll
find many teachers who don't, on the whole, like teaching. If they didn't
like it, they'd leave and do something they also didn't like but which paid a
third more, which is most other jobs with the possible exception of
nursing.
Since you ask, it's Marcus Jon Hill BSc(hons) PGCE MSc PhD (though I'm not
sure whether a PGCE is a postnominal letters type of qualification).
I know Xerox PARC are still a leading research institution, though I wouldn't
say that they (or MIT) are a ''company'', despite their source of funding.
Certainly, with an AI based PhD I would say that doing research for software
companies or government institutions such as GCHQ or (if your morals will
take it) DRA would not be out of the question, but I honestly don't know what
your chances would be on that one.
By Sean Hartnoll (Sah40) on Tuesday, October 24, 2000
- 11:55 pm:
whoa Michael - I think you account is not
historically sound, I understand that there is ample evidence that Japan was
in fact about to surrender, that the US knew this, and that the effect of
dropping the bomb was aimed more at the USSR than Japan.
The are also cultural problems in your account, for instance the role of
suicide in Japan was not something that suddenly sprung up due to a
'totalitarian' regime but dates way back to at least Samurai honour
codes.
Dan and others - anything by Chomsky is good. There is something of a
parallel in fact between the Serbia bombings and the first A-bomb. The
bombing of Serbia was a major conflict is post cold war Europe, the fall of
the USSR effectively left NATO (a 'defence' organisation) without it's
official role and the bombing had everything to do with NATO redefining
itself as an offensive force and also everything to do with the US
establishing itself as a now supreme power. This parrallels slightly the
A-bomb case because the actual the desired objective is, amongst other
things, a demonstration of power.
Sean
By Tom Hardcastle (P2477) on Wednesday, October 25,
2000 - 01:32 am:
Totally agree with Sean above; the dropping of the A-bomb was a
very dubious action. And I did History GCSE, so I obviously know what I'm
talking about. Completely different periods, but still :).
About military funding generally, well, probably depends on the conflict.
I don't think anyone here would knock Turing. In any case, I think there is a
distinct ethical difference in working on applications during a war, in
which you are aware of the causes of that war and uses to which your work is
being put and working on military applications during peace-time with no
knowledge of or control over the applications to which your work will be
put.
Tom
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Wednesday, October 25, 2000
- 02:15 am:
Marcus, all you need now is a CBE and an FRS :)
We seem to have entered the strange realm of acronyms; NATO, USSR, UN, CBE,
FRS, PhD, MSc, PGCE, GCHQ, DRA, NSA, AI, BSc, GCSE, MIT, PARC, US, IIRC
just to name a few... Also, I think HAL might be a TLA as well. The last
sentence also allows me to add TLA to the list of acronyms as well.
Tom, your point about Turing is well made, I certainly wouldn't knock him.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Wednesday, October 25, 2000 -
12:52 pm:
lol Dan! ;)
May I add: BOTEC - back-of-the-envelope calculation (a physicist's or mathematician's
approximation) AFA - A friend always. AFAICS - as far as I can see AFAIK - as far as I know AFAIR - as far as I remember AIUI - as I understand it aka - also known as APU - as per usual BCNU - Be seeing you. BFN - Bye for now. BOFH - Bastard Operator From Hell BRB - Be right back. (Mostly used in chat rooms.) BTHOM - Beats the hell outta me. BTW - by the way Cya - See ya. dd - dear daughter dh - dear husband ds - dear son dw - dear wife * ETLA - extended three-letter acronym/abbreviation (Well, some of them are
a fair bit longer than three letters.) FAQ - Frequently Asked (or Answered) Questions FFPGP - Finger for PGP public key. FOTFL - Falls on the floor laughing. FWIW - for what it's worth FYI - for your information GTHFY - Good to hear from you. HAND - Have a nice day. HTH - hope this helps IAH - in all honesty IDTS - I don't think so IIRC - if I recall correctly IMAO - in my arrogant opinion IME - in my experience IMHO - in my humble (or honest) opinion IMNSHO - in my not so humble opinion IMO - in my opinion IOW - in other words IRL - in real life (geekspeak for ''not on-line'') ISTR - I seem to remember ITWSBT - I think we should be told. IYSWIM - if you see what I mean L&P - Love &Peace. LOL - laughing out loud MIL - mother-in-law MOTP - member(s) of the public ng (also upper case) - newsgroup OTOH - on the other hand PMFJI - pardon me for jumping in PMJI - pardon my jumping in ppl - people ROTFL - Rolling on the floor laughing. ROTFLMHO - Rolling on the floor laughing my head off. RSN - Real soon now (usually used with a degree of skepticism) RU... - Are you...? TTBOMK - to the best of my knowledge TTFN - Ta-ta for now. TTYL - Talk to you later. UCE - unsolicited commerical e-mail WIH - what in hell WIHIH - what in hell is happening wrt - with respect to WTH - what the hell YMMV - Your mileage my vary. YT - Yours Truly Marcus, do ppl call you Dr, or call you by your name? From your teaching
experience, do you find it more interesting to teach the more able students,
or the less able student? The interverted student or extroverted student? What
about when pupils don't do as you say, like do their hw? Do you forgive them
or get angry? Just interested.
Any one read the 2001 odyssey series? Any one read the book from MIT press ''HAL's Legacy: 2001's Computer as Dream
& Reality'.
Regards HAL2K+1
By Olof Sisask (P3033) on Wednesday, October 25, 2000
- 01:27 pm:
I'm also interested to know how different teachers handle
difficult situations - if pupils won't do as they say, don't do homework,
talk constantly etc.? I suppose the problem varies from school to school, and
at different levels of education. I'm not sure if I could handle it if I went
into teaching (I too am thinking of eventually doing a PhD). Can't we just be
paid all our lives to do research into areas we love? No? Damn.
Olof.
By Michael Doré (Md285) on Wednesday, October
25, 2000 - 03:22 pm:
Of course I can't claim to be an expert on the A-bomb, but I did
actually research it pretty thoroughly for my GCSE History coursework. This
included reading through many sources, some biased American, some biased
Japanese, some biased USSR and some supposedly ''neutral''. I agree Truman was
no saint, but personally I don't see what else he could have done to prevent
an astronomical loss of life on both sides. I did not find much good evidence
that Japan was ready to surrender. The fact that the Japanese were informed
about the capability of the bomb, and in fact they didn't surrender even when
the first bomb was dropped shows that they weren't about to give in.
I find it extremely difficult to imagine that the US killed 100,000 innocent
citizens simply to ''scare'' the Russians (as Kruschev later claimed). Surely
dropping the bomb in the sea would have sufficed for this purpose? (Of course
this is not ideal either, due to the problems of nuclear waste, but I don't
think these had been fully realised at the time and anyway, this must have
been better than killing 100,000 people.)
The US actually developed the bomb having been warned by Einstein and Szilard
that Hitler's Germany was developing an A-Bomb. On balance I have little doubt
it would have been better if nuclear energy had never been discovered, despite
the fact that I believe WW2 would have been more devastating if it hadn't been
ended quickly. I think the use in WW2 has to be regarded as an exception.
Since then it has only helped to make bad situations worse, for instance in
the cold war. The problem was that if two countries had a dispute, and one
was allied to the US and the other to the USSR, then potentially the two
superpowers could come to the aid of their allies. The danger was that one of
the super-powers could resort to nuclear energy in the dispute between the
two countries, after which the other superpower might well follow suit, and
then the crisis could escalate to a full nuclear war. Luckily this never
happened.
Of course the obvious example is the Cuban missiles crisis, where it was only
really because Kruschev, the successor to Stalin, was sensible enough to step
down at the vital moment that a world-wide disaster was prevented. A more
fanatical leader would not have given in, and the consequences could have been
devastating. The fact he did give in was actually one of the main causes of
Kruschev's downfall in the end, but it was an extremely good decision.
The US were unlikely to give in as otherwise the Russians would gain a nuclear
base in Cuba which would jeopardise US security (apparently it would only
take a few hours for a bomb launched in Cuba to arrive in Califournia but
I'm not sure about this detail; certainly it is unlikely the US could have
responded in time). Of course if the US hadn't behaved so irresponsibly
towards Cuba in the first place (the Bay of Pigs etc) this could all have
been avoided, but the presence of nuclear bombs made it all the more
frightening.
Now that more and more countries have nuclear capabilities it can only make
the world a less safe place. Yes OK you can argue that lots of countries
having nuclear arms is a deterrent for other countries setting off the bomb,
but of course it would be far safer if every country was disarmed. In a way,
countries having nuclear weapons is analogous to people having guns. People
might claim they need guns to defend themselves and countries say they need
nuclear weapons for the same reason. But you only have to compare the murder
rates in the UK and the US to see that easy access to weapons is a big
problem. It only takes one lunatic with a gun to kill a crowd of people.
Could the same problem occur if all countries are nuclearly armed?
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Wednesday, October 25, 2000 -
04:16 pm:
You ever seen the movie ''War Games''? Sometimes there is no winner. War is something like that.
Getting back to the path of AI, suppose that we had a AI 'thing'. If you feed
it in the variables and situations for all the elements in about the time of
WW2, what would it have deicded to end the war as quick as possible.
Remember the AI's only task is to figure out the quickest way to end the war,
and would have no bias towards any side. What would it suggest? Would it have
made the same choice to drop the Bomb?, even twice? What would have been its
reasoning. Is there a name for this type of reasoning?
Regards HAL2001
By Tom Hardcastle (P2477) on Wednesday, October 25,
2000 - 04:17 pm:
Just a small point, but the argument that dropping a bomb as a
warning would clearly have been ineffective as the Japanese did not
immediately surrender after the Hiroshima bomb does not take into account
the fact that the Japanese actually surrendered on August 14 1945, 5 days
after the Nagasaki bomb. It should also be pointed out that a Soviet invasion
of Dongbei on August 9th (the USSR only declared war on Japan on August 8th)
may also have been a factor in the Japanese surrender given the imperialistic
fear of Communism.
In view of these factors, it seems not unreasonable to condemn the bombing of
Hiroshima and Nagasaki, not because it was unnecessary, but because it may
have been unnecessary. If the USA had previously dropped a bomb in an
uninhabited but observable region in or near Japan and the Japanese had
failed to surrender, there would be a much better case for the dropping of the
bomb as necessary in order to end the war.
Tom.
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Wednesday, October 25,
2000 - 04:21 pm:
Michael, another way of seeing the fact that the
Japenese didn't surrender after the first bomb is that the bomb made no
difference to their surrendering. Also, I don't find it hard to believe that
the US would drop the bomb to scare the Russians, they were (and many still
are) fanatically anti-Communist.
I agree with you about the analogy between nuclear weapons and guns, but
unfortunately it's a prisoner's dilemma situation now, which means that
nobody will disarm, certainly not unilaterally (they might say they have
though).
By Dan Goodman (Dfmg2) on Wednesday, October 25, 2000
- 04:24 pm:
Hal, it depends who had designed the AI, if the
Americans had designed it, it would have decided to drop the bomb,
otherwise probably not.
By Sean Hartnoll (Sah40) on Wednesday, October 25,
2000 - 04:31 pm:
1) the dropping the bomb into the sea argument is a red herring
because it is manifestly obvious that however big a wave you might create it
is not going to have as much of an impact on world conscious (or conscious of
political leaders) as the well known pictures of a devastated city.
2) I think it is a little ironic when people talk about nuclear or biological
weapons being in the hands of 'lunatics' who might use them 'irresponsibly'
when the only nation to have used a nuclear weapon at all is the US and the
US also used large quantities of biological weapons in Vietnam. Which doesn't
leave in much of a position to speak.
3) The situation is more subtle regarding 'scaring' the USSR. In particular,
when the bombs were dropped, Russian troops were advancing across the then
Japanese occupied Manchuria. So by making Japan surrender EARLIER than it
would have otherwise (i.e. before Russian troops reached Japan), the US was
able to ensure the USSR had no say in what happenned to post-war Japan.
4) There were three days between the bombings... not particularly much time.
If the Japanese were so careless about the lives of people why should they
have cared whether it was 100,000 or 200,000 that died? There is no logic in
saying that the fact that they surrended after the second and not the first
shows that they were not about to surrender. One bomb would have been quite
enough for the purpose. Three days is not enough for a proper assesement of
damage, evaluation of situation etc.
5) since early 1945 the US had been conducting firebombing raids on Japanese
cities, specifically designed to kill as many civilians as possible. So
there is no grounds to credit the US with a care for life.
6) By the spring of 1945 it was clear that Japan was militarily exhausted.
Its air force and navy had been virtually destroyed and in April the war
government fell and was replaced by a cabinet under Admiral Suzuki who was
keen to look for ways to make peace. There were divisions in the Japanese
leadership over this issue.
7) Did the US know? Well, they had cracked Japanese codes and intercepted
messages which were, in the words of US secretary of the navy James
Forrester, 'real evidence of a Japanese desire to get out of the war'. In the
week before the Potsdam Conference, cables revealed the formal decision of a
Japanese Imperial Conference to try to stop the fighting.
On 2 August the Americans intercepted a cable from the Japanese government to
the Japanese ambassador in Russia: 'The battle situation has become acute,
there are only a few days left in which to make arrangements to end the
war... it is requested that you immediately have a talk with Molotov.'
On 6 August the atomic bomb was dropped on Hiroshima.
What else is there to say?
Sean
By Kerwin Hui (Kwkh2) on Wednesday, October 25, 2000
- 04:59 pm:
Another reason why Japan surrendered was that
America threatened to bomb Tokyo. We still do not know whether US had another
A-bomb at their disposal at that stage, some sources said it was a bluff,
and some said they would have bombed Tokyo on the 14th August.
It was certainly true that Americans don't care about civilian lives in the
war, despite their claim that dropping the bomb on the bridge in Hiroshima
would minimise civilian casualties. In fact, did anyone in power care about
civilian lives in WW2?
By Michael Doré (Md285) on Wednesday, October
25, 2000 - 07:26 pm:
To address Sean's points.
1) Yes, true. But I would like to think that the factor of saving 100,000
lives would have played some influence.
2) I am not speaking on behalf of the US (at least that is not my intention).
I have mentioned other instances above where their international policy has
been less than responsible. I don't know enough about Vietnam to comment,
but on the subject of Hiroshima/Nagasaki my view was that the US dropped the
bomb to end the war. A few of your later points have started to shift my
position.
3) Even if Japan was attacked on two fronts by Russia and the US, this
doesn't necessarily mean Japan would have immediately surrendered. They
would probably have fought to the very end, and there would have been a
lot of bloodshed.
4) I would have thought that there could be little doubt how destructive the
atomic bomb was. OK, they won't have realised that that bombing was going to
result in 80,000 deaths, but they must have noticed how much damage was
caused with minimal effort. I don't think they knew that U 235 was so short
in supply, so for all they knew the US might have gone on and on dropping
A-bombs for months. I think if I was in their position I would have
surrendered immediately after the 1st bomb to prevent it happening again.
And if I was already thinking of surrendering, my response would have been
instantaneous.
5) Well it was war. My guess would have been that the US wanted to make the
Japanese surrender without having to resort to atomic energy. After a while
it became clear that the Japanese were going to hang on for as long as
possible, so the US decided to end it. As I say I am less sure now.
6-7) These are the two crucial points. I was aware that militarily the
Japanese were exhausted, but again I think they could have hung on for a
lot longer.
But what really concerns me are the two quotations you mentioned. If I had
been aware of these my view would have been very different. Out of all the
sources I looked through (both in textbooks and outside) I found very little
to suggest Japan was on the verge of surrender. Even my history teacher
(who incidentally was personally against the use of atomic energy in WW2)
never mentioned once that the US had intercepted Japanese messages saying
they were just days away from surrender.
I think I should qualify one other thing in my first post to this topic - I
say at the end that Serbia is less clear cut than Hiroshima, implying that
Hiroshima is clear cut. This was not my intention, and what I really meant
was that the case for atomic energy in WW2 was a lot stronger than the case
for using guided missiles against Serbia but I don't know that much about
the later case.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Wednesday, October 25, 2000 -
08:30 pm:
Thanks Dan for the TeX link.
If the bomb stopped the war, then it was for the better good? Not though for
the people of Nagasaki & Hiroshima :(
I personnaly think that a nuclear bomb will never be used again on civillians,
within my lifetime anyway, but then again I am an optimist.
Its strange that arguablly in the most troubled region of the world, middle
east, a nuclear bomb has never been used. Though trouble has been brewing in
Isaral, I don't think a sane leader in the modern age would ever give the go
ahead to launch a nuclear bomb on anyone, no matter whatever is on stake. But
then again many leaders are not sane?
By Marcus Hill (T3280) on Wednesday, October 25,
2000 - 09:09 pm:
I'm staying right out of the bomb debate...
Hal, to answer your teaching questions, people call me by name, or if they are
being formal Dr. Hill. Depending on the institution, formality towards
teachers may be required (usually in schools). I teach in a sixth form
college, so formality is not important.
I find it most interesting mathematically to teach more able students, since
they not infrequently solve a problem in an elegant way which had not
occurred to me. However, I find it most gratifying to teach students of any
ability when they make progress, and have what Martin Gardner calls that
''aha!'' moment - that's what teaching is about, whether it's a student who is
a better mathematician than I am coming to grips with a complex theorem or a
kid with special needs seeing how to work out the mean of a set of
numbers.
There are always systems in an institution to maintain discipline and work
quality by students, and I tend to stick to those. I don't get angry at
students for not doing homework, merely disappointed - they are only harming
their own progress. I never let people off when they don't do homework, that
would encourage people to not do homework!
Olof, a PhD is neither necessary for teaching in schools nor does it usually
lead to it - you can indeed be paid all your life to do research into the
areas you love, and the only teaching you'll have to do is lecturing at
university.
By Brad Rodgers (P1930) on Wednesday, October 25,
2000 - 09:21 pm:
The point about the US launching the bomb twice to scare the USSR
is somewhat illogical when saying that it would only take 1 bomb to scare the
Japenese. If it was known that only 1 bomb would be needed to ''scare'' the
world, then why would two have been dropped to scare the communists. When
it's not your own people, ''quality matters, not quantity''. So why would the
U.S. have dropped the second bomb just to scare the USSR. It was either
dropped twice to defeat the Japenese, or because of military ignorance.
Given some of the arguments already on the page perhaps it was simple
ignorance (something all too common in American Politics). But, I still
think that the bomb accelerated the end of the war.
Finally, the people designing the bomb were certainly not doing evil, as if
the bomb had been dropped as early as possible many lives would have been
saved. It has been estimated that half a million lives were lost every month
in the War. That would mean that if the team could have gotten the bomb
ready 2 months earlier, we would be granting 1 million lives in exchange for
.2 million. This, while hurting the individual will help so many more
individuals. But, I am as willing as anyone to admit that there was a bit of
a double motive in the US government's use of the bomb (to use the bomb for
intimidation). I am not willing to admit that the US merely used the bomb as
a political weapon though.
Given recent threads on the US's anti-communist agenda, I've decided to post
these CIA plots actually considered to stop Castro and Communist Cuba.
1.Use agents in Cuba to spread rumors that the second coming of Christ is
imminent and that Casro is the anti-Christ.
2.Suprise him at the beach with an explodinbg conch shell.
3.Put thalium salts in his shoes so that his beard and hair would fall out
during the ''David Susskand Show''.
4.Put ithching powder in his bathing suit and LSD on his mouthpiece so that
he would be driven crazy and drown.
5.Offer him exploding cigars designed to blow off his head.
6.Shoot him with a TV camerz that has a machine gun inside.
7.Spray his broadcasting studio with hallucinogens
8.Actually send a plane over Cuba dropping pamphlets explaing that due to
A-bomb tests, the Cuban island was now bombarded with radiation causing
impotency, and the only way to get rid of radiation is to shave off your
beard.
Read once again: these are not jokes!(but I've intended them to be in case
there was question)
Brad
By Sean Hartnoll (Sah40) on Wednesday, October 25,
2000 - 09:37 pm:
fair point about the two bombs Brad, my guess, but it just a
guess, would be that it was always planned to drop two, seing as it was the
first time one was had even be really used, there might have been quite a
high probability of something going wrong, hence the need for two to be sure
one would work. Of course, as you said there may not be a rational
explanation.
I agree the bombs accelerated the end of the war, but only by the few weeks
that were necessary for the war to end before Russian troops reached
Japan.
Sean
By Anonymous on Wednesday, October 25, 2000 - 09:41
pm:
The conjectured intimidation of Japanese would have been for a
very different purpose than the conjectured intimidation of the USSR. I don't
see the rejection of the former as necessarily contradicting the latter.
If the idea were to force the Japanese to surrender than I cannot see how
more than one bomb would be necessary. If on the other hand the aim was to
demonstrate American military strength then there is every reason to destroy
as much as possible.
I do not think that a simple measure of the number of deaths is a well-defined
notion of morality. After all the allies could have ended the war right at the
start with no deaths as a result of combat just by surrendering to the
Nazis.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Thursday, October 26, 2000 -
11:22 am:
Marcus, if you spot unusually high potenial in a student what w
ould you do? a) continue as normal, b) tell the student and set harder work,
c) somthing I haven't put as an option?
I would be interested to know how you would nurture potential in a student so
that it does not go to waste.
I was reading the book ''Uncle Petros and Goldbach's Conjecture'' (not
finished it yet though). Has anyone proved is disproved it yet? How far
have they got?
Regards HAL2001
By Marcus Hill (T3280) on Monday, October 30, 2000 -
07:52 pm:
Hal, when it comes to very able students, it all depends on the
student. In the final analysis, you try what you can to encourage the student
to reach his or her potential. In some cases, the student is eager and you
need do little more than guide him or her through self motivated study. In
other (very disappointing) cases, no amount of persuasion will make the
student do more than is needed - the perpetual question is ''Do I need to
know this to pass my A Level?''. The main thing in all cases is to show the
student his or her potential and find some material which he or she will
enjoy looking into - why have a brilliant student be put off by (say) fluid
mechanics when he or she could have been inspired by infinite set theory?
(Or the other way round for a different student!)
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Tuesday, October 31, 2000 -
09:38 pm:
Marcus, Thanks for your view. Its very interesting, the way
you put it.
Do you know anything about the history of the Indian mathematician
Ranuajuman? How did he derive so much maths that were already mainstream in
the western world independently? What basic education did he have. What books
did he initially learn from. What kind of new mathematics did he derive in
his days with Hardy and that Long guy (can't remember his name) at Trinity.
I would be interested to know. Thanks in advance.
Thanks Hal
By Anonymous on Tuesday, October 31, 2000 -
09:45 pm:
I know he produced loads of notebooks with unproved results.
These have been edited and can be bought from any good bookshop.
By Marcus Hill (T3280) on Wednesday, November 1,
2000 - 06:23 pm:
I don't know that much about him, though from what I do know it
strikes me that he had a phenomenal intuition for mathematics, especially
number theory. Results which other people would have to investigate before
even hazarding a guess as to whether they were true seemed obvious to him,
and came to him without the usual mathematical wrangling involved in finding
results.
By Emma McCaughan (Emma) on Thursday, November 2,
2000 - 11:19 am:
You might like to look at this
biography of Ramanujan.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Thursday, November 2, 2000
- 03:06 pm:
Hi Anon, do you know of any of the titles to which you talk about.
Much appreciated.
Emma, thanks for the Bio link.
Marcus, I was thinking about what you said, ''intuition''. I was reading some
material about Deep Blue. Some of the moves that Deep Blue could come up with
was sometimes counter inuitive to a human chess player, and the reasons for
the move only becomes apparent to the human later on in the game, if at all.
So is this thought ''intuition'' by computer or human standards. The sheer
number of paths the computer analysied brought foward, some moves that would
be dismissed by a human counterpart. But since it is not thinking like a
human but simply going through as many possible moves at it can in a space of
finite time, why is this type of thinking not considered human or ''intuitive''.
Maybe, Ramamujan ''intuitive'' thoughts that were counterintuitive by others
standards were simply working in the same mathod of deep blue, but not fully
even aware to the knowledge to even the mathematician himself. Hope I make
sence, this is a bit rushed.
That Long guy I mentioned before was supposed to be ''Littlewood'' and not
Long. Sorry!
By Olof Sisask (P3033) on Thursday, November 2, 2000 -
06:45 pm:
Hal- I found a book about Ramanujan which I started reading a while ago. It's called
''The Man Who Knew Infinity'' by Robert Kanigel. I haven't gotten that far
in it, but it seems quite a good book so far (it includes the story of his
life as well as some Mathematical notes).
Olof.
By Hal 2001 (P3046) on Friday, November 3, 2000 -
03:33 pm:
Thanks Olof, I'll check out the book.
HAL2001
By Sean Hartnoll (Sah40) on Tuesday, November 21,
2000 - 09:06 pm:
Michael - I've finally tracked down a reference
for some of the quotes I used above. Have a look in the book ''The Decision
to use the Atomic Bomb'', by Gar Alperovitz, New York Vintage Books, 1995.
There are quotes there from American military and government people that
really leave little doubt.
Sean
By Michael Doré (Md285) on Wednesday, November
22, 2000 - 12:37 pm:
Thanks Sean - I'll have a look for that in the library later. I'm
a bit surprised that I didn't come across anything like this in any of the
sources I looked at, and that my teacher (strongly against the A-Bomb) didn't
mention it. Maybe it has only been uncovered recently. Anyway thanks for
the reference,
Michael