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STATISTICS S1
Mathematical models in probability and statistics;
representation and summary of data; probability;
correlation and regression; discrete random variables;
discrete distributions; the Normal distribution.
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Odd one out , The Monte-Carlo method , Stats Statements |
| MATHEMATICAL MODELS IN PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS | . |
| The basic ideas of mathematical modelling as applied in probability and statistics. | Epidemic Modelling |
| REPRESENTATION AND SUMMARY OF DATA | . |
| Histograms, stem and leaf diagrams, box plots. Using histograms, stem and leaf diagrams and box plots to compare distributions. | Data matching |
| Measures of location, mean, median, mode | . |
| Measures of dispersion, variance, standard deviation, range and interpercentile ranges. | . |
| Skewness. Concepts of outliers | . |
| PROBABILITY | . |
| Elementary probability. | Snooker frames |
| Sample space. Exclusive and complementary events. | Teams |
| Conditional probability. | Rain or shine , Put Out, Knock-Out |
| Independence of two events | . |
| Sum and product laws | FA cup , Limiting probabilities |
| CORRELATION AND REGRESSION | . |
| Scatter diagrams. Linear regression | . |
| Explanatory (independent) and response (dependent) variables | . |
| The product moment correlation coefficient, its use, interpretation and limitations. | . |
| DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES | . |
| The concept of a discrete random variable. | Distribution maker |
| The probability function and the cumulative distribution function for a discrete random variable. | . |
| Mean and variance of a discrete random variable. | Random Inequalities |
| The discrete uniform distribution. | . |
| THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION | . |
| The Normal distribution including the mean, variance and use of tables of the cumulative distribution function | Into the normal distribution |
Next module
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STATISTICS S2
The Binomial and Poisson distributions; continuous
random variables; continuous distributions; samples;
hypothesis tests.
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Lion hunting |
| THE BINOMIAL AND POISSON DISTRIBUTIONS | . |
| The binomial and Poisson distributions. | Overbooking |
| The mean and variance of the binomial and Poisson distributions. | . |
| The use of the Poisson distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution. | . |
| CONTINUOUS RANDOM VARIABLES | . |
| The concept of a continuous random variable. | . |
| The probability density function and the cumulative distribution function for a continuous random variable | pdf matcher , Circle PDF , Scale invariance , Normal intersection |
| Relationship between density and distribution functions. | Into the exponential distribution , PCDF |
| Mean and variance of continuous random variables. | Whats your mean? |
| Mode, median and quartiles of continuous random variables. | . |
| CONTINUOUS DISTRIBUTIONS | . |
| The continuous uniform (rectangular) distribution | . |
| Use of the Normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution and the Poisson distribution (with continuity correction) | . |
| HYPOTHESIS TESTS | Understanding hypotheses |
| Population, census and sample. Sampling unit, sampling frame | Very old man |
| Concepts of a statistic and its sampling distribution. | . |
| Concept and interpretation of a hypothesis test. Null and alternative hypotheses. | . |
| Critical region | . |
| One-tailed and two-tailed tests. | . |
| Hypothesis tests for the parameter p of a binomial distribution and for the mean of a Poisson distribution | . |
| Experimental design | Reaction timer timer |
Next module
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STATISTICS S3
Combinations of random variables; sampling; estimation,
confidence intervals and tests; goodness of fit and
contingency tables; regression and correlation
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The Monte-Carlo method |
| COMBINATIONS OF RANDOM VARIABLES | . |
| Distribution of linear combinations of independent random variables. | Uniform sum? , Aim high , Time to evolve 2 |
| SAMPLING | . |
| Methods for collecting data. Simple random sampling. | . |
| Use of random numbers for sampling. | . |
| Other methods of sampling: stratified, systematic, quota. | . |
| ESTIMATION, CONFIDENCE INTERVALS AND TESTS | . |
| Concepts of standard error, estimator, bias. | . |
| The distribution of the sample mean. | . |
| Concept of a confidence interval and its interpretation. | . |
| Confidence limits for a Normal mean, with variance known. | . |
| Hypothesis tests for the mean of a Normal distribution with variance known. | . |
| Use of Central Limit theorem to extend hypothesis tests and confidence intervals to samples from non-Normal distributions. | . |
| Use of large sample results to extend to the case in which the variance is unknown | . |
| Use of large sample results to extend to the case in which the population variances are unknown. | . |
| GOODNESS OF FIT AND CONTINGENCY TABLES | . |
| The null and alternative hypotheses. | . |
| Chi-squared test | Chi-squared faker |
| REGRESSION AND CORRELATION | . |
| Spearman's rank correlation coefficient, its use, interpretation and limitations. | . |
| Testing the hypothesis that a correlation is zero. | . |
Next module
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STATISTICS S4
Quality of tests and estimators; one-sample procedures;
two-sample procedures.
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| QUALITY OF TESTS AND ESTIMATORS | . |
| Type I and Type II errors. | . |
| Size and Power of Test. | . |
| The power test. | . |
| Assessment of the quality of estimators | . |
| ONE-SAMPLE PROCEDURES | . |
| Hypothesis test and confi dence interval for the mean of a Normal distribution with unknown variance. | . |
| Hypothesis test and confi dence interval for the variance of a Normal distribution. | . |
| TWO-SAMPLE PROCEDURES | . |
| Hypothesis test that two independent random samples are from Normal populations with equal variances. | . |
| Use of the pooled estimate of variance | . |
| Hypothesis test and confidence interval for the difference between two means from independent | . |
| Normal distributions when the variances are equal but unknown | . |
| Paired t-test. | . |
| 4) (MEI) GENERATING FUNCTIONS | Spinners |