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Resources tagged with Theoretical probability similar to Marbles and Bags:

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Broad Topics > Probability > Theoretical probability

The Better Bet

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Here are two games you have to pay to play. Which is the better bet?

Marbles and Bags

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Two bags contain different numbers of red and blue marbles. A marble is removed from one of the bags. The marble is blue. What is the probability that it was removed from bag A?

Gambling at Monte Carlo

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

A man went to Monte Carlo to try and make his fortune. Is his strategy a winning one?

Same Number!

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

If everyone in your class picked a number from 1 to 225, do you think any two people would pick the same number?

Stage: 4 and 5 Challenge Level:

Some relationships are transitive, such as `if A>B and B>C then it follows that A>C', but some are not. In a voting system, if A beats B and B beats C should we expect A to beat C?

The Birthday Bet

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

The next ten people coming into a store will be asked their birthday. If the prize is £20, would you bet £1 that two of these ten people will have the same birthday ?

Chances Are

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Which of these games would you play to give yourself the best possible chance of winning a prize?

Bet You a Million

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Heads or Tails - the prize doubles until you win it. How much would you pay to play?

Probability Resources

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

This set of resources for teachers offers interactive environments to support probability work at Key Stage 4.

Like Father Like Son

Stage: 4 Short Challenge Level:

What is the chance I will have a son who looks like me?

Win or Lose?

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

A gambler bets half the money in his pocket on the toss of a coin, winning an equal amount for a head and losing his money if the result is a tail. After 2n plays he has won exactly n times. Has. . . .

Taking Chances Extended

Stage: 4 and 5

This article, for students and teachers, is mainly about probability, the mathematical way of looking at random chance.

At Least One...

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Imagine flipping a coin a number of times. Can you work out the probability you will get a head on at least one of the flips?

Distribution Differences

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

How could you compare different situation where something random happens ? What sort of things might be the same ? What might be different ?

Who's the Winner?

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

When two closely matched teams play each other, what is the most likely result?

Mathsland National Lottery

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Can you work out the probability of winning the Mathsland National Lottery? Try our simulator to test out your ideas.

Which Spinners?

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Can you work out which spinners were used to generate the frequency charts?

Taking Chances

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

This article, for students and teachers, is mainly about probability, the mathematical way of looking at random chance and is a shorter version of Taking Chances Extended.

Introducing Distributions

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

When five dice are rolled together which do you expect to see more often, no sixes or all sixes ?

The Random World

Stage: 3, 4 and 5

Think that a coin toss is 50-50 heads or tails? Read on to appreciate the ever-changing and random nature of the world in which we live.

Coin Tossing Games

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

You and I play a game involving successive throws of a fair coin. Suppose I pick HH and you pick TH. The coin is thrown repeatedly until we see either two heads in a row (I win) or a tail followed by. . . .

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

The King showed the Princess a map of the maze and the Princess was allowed to decide which room she would wait in. She was not allowed to send a copy to her lover who would have to guess which path. . . .

Last One Standing

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Imagine a room full of people who keep flipping coins until they get a tail. Will anyone get six heads in a row?

Card Game (a Simple Version of Clock Patience)

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Four cards are shuffled and placed into two piles of two. Starting with the first pile of cards - turn a card over... You win if all your cards end up in the trays before you run out of cards in. . . .

Nines and Tens

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Explain why it is that when you throw two dice you are more likely to get a score of 9 than of 10. What about the case of 3 dice? Is a score of 9 more likely then a score of 10 with 3 dice?

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Four fair dice are marked differently on their six faces. Choose first ANY one of them. I can always choose another that will give me a better chance of winning. Investigate.

In a Box

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

Chris and Jo put two red and four blue ribbons in a box. They each pick a ribbon from the box without looking. Jo wins if the two ribbons are the same colour. Is the game fair?

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Can you design your own probability scale?
How do you describe the different parts?

Can't Find a Coin?

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Can you generate a set of random results? Can you fool the random simulator?

Genetics

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

A problem about genetics and the transmission of disease.

Misunderstanding Randomness

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Which of these ideas about randomness are actually correct?

What Do You Know about Probability? (2)

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

What are the likelihoods of different events when you roll a dice?

Flippin' Discs

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Identical discs are flipped in the air. You win if all of the faces show the same colour. Can you calculate the probability of winning with n discs?

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

A counter is placed in the bottom right hand corner of a grid. You toss a coin and move the star according to the following rules: ... What is the probability that you end up in the top left-hand. . . .

Fixing the Odds

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

You have two bags, four red balls and four white balls. You must put all the balls in the bags although you are allowed to have one bag empty. How should you distribute the balls between the two. . . .

Football World Cup Simulation

Stage: 2, 3 and 4 Challenge Level:

A maths-based Football World Cup simulation for teachers and students to use.

Interactive Spinners

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

This interactivity invites you to make conjectures and explore probabilities of outcomes related to two independent events.

Two's Company

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

7 balls are shaken in a container. You win if the two blue balls touch. What is the probability of winning?

Cosy Corner

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Six balls of various colours are randomly shaken into a trianglular arrangement. What is the probability of having at least one red in the corner?

Odds and Evens

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Is this a fair game? How many ways are there of creating a fair game by adding odd and even numbers?

Scratch Cards

Stage: 4 Challenge Level:

To win on a scratch card you have to uncover three numbers that add up to more than fifteen. What is the probability of winning a prize?

What Does Random Look Like?

Stage: 3 Challenge Level:

Engage in a little mathematical detective work to see if you can spot the fakes.