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Resources tagged with Combining probabilities similar to Any Win for Tennis?:

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Broad Topics > Probability > Combining probabilities

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Balls and Bags

Stage: 4 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:2 Challenge Level:2

Two bags contain different numbers of red and blue balls. A ball is removed from one of the bags. The ball is blue. What is the probability that it was removed from bag A?

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The Better Bet

Stage: 4 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:1

So which is the better bet? Both games cost £1 to play. Getting two heads and two tails for £3 or £2 for every six when three dice are rolled.

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Taking Chances Extended

Stage: 4 and 5

This article, for students and teachers, is mainly about probability, the mathematical way of looking at random chance.

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At Least One...

Stage: 3 and 4 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:1

Imagine flipping a coin a number of times. Can you work out the probability you will get a head on at least one of the flips?

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Knock-out

Stage: 5 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:1

Before a knockout tournament with 2^n players I pick two players. What is the probability that they have to play against each other at some point in the tournament?

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Put Out

Stage: 5 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:3 Challenge Level:3 Challenge Level:3

After transferring balls back and forth between two bags the probability of selecting a green ball from bag 2 is 3/5. How many green balls were in bag 2 at the outset?

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Win or Lose?

Stage: 4 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:2 Challenge Level:2

A gambler bets half the money in his pocket on the toss of a coin, winning an equal amount for a head and losing his money if the result is a tail. After 2n plays he has won exactly n times. Has. . . .

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Gambling at Monte Carlo

Stage: 4 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:3 Challenge Level:3 Challenge Level:3

A man went to Monte Carlo to try and make his fortune. Whilst he was there he had an opportunity to bet on the outcome of rolling dice. He was offered the same odds for each of the. . . .

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Snooker

Stage: 5 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:1

A player has probability 0.4 of winning a single game. What is his probability of winning a 'best of 15 games' tournament?

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Lottery Simulator

Stage: 2, 3 and 4 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:1

Use this animation to experiment with lotteries. Choose how many balls to match, how many are in the carousel, and how many draws to make at once.

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Same Number!

Stage: 4 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:1

If everyone in your class picked a number from 1 to 225, do you think any two people would pick the same number?

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Fixing the Odds

Stage: 4 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:3 Challenge Level:3 Challenge Level:3

You have two bags, four red balls and four white balls. You must put all the balls in the bags although you are allowed to have one bag empty. How should you distribute the balls between the two. . . .

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Heavy Hydrocarbons

Stage: 4 and 5 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:2 Challenge Level:2

Explore the distribution of molecular masses for various hydrocarbons

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Dicey Decisions

Stage: 5 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:1

Can you devise a fair scoring system when dice land edge-up or corner-up?

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Squash

Stage: 5 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:3 Challenge Level:3 Challenge Level:3

If the score is 8-8 do I have more chance of winning if the winner is the first to reach 9 points or the first to reach 10 points?

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Voting Paradox

Stage: 4 and 5 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:2 Challenge Level:2

Some relationships are transitive, such as `if A>B and B>C then it follows that A>C', but some are not. In a voting system, if A beats B and B beats C should we expect A to beat C?

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Snooker Frames

Stage: 5 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:1

It is believed that weaker snooker players have a better chance of winning matches over eleven frames (i.e. first to win 6 frames) than they do over fifteen frames. Is this true?

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Card Game (a Simple Version of Clock Patience)

Stage: 4 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:2 Challenge Level:2

Four cards are shuffled and placed into two piles of two. Starting with the first pile of cards - turn a card over... You win if all your cards end up in the trays before you run out of cards in. . . .

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Molecular Sequencer

Stage: 4 and 5 Challenge Level: Challenge Level:2 Challenge Level:2

Investigate the molecular masses in this sequence of molecules and deduce which molecule has been analysed in the mass spectrometer.