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At a glance this initial part of the question appears exceptionally
tricky. However, by breaking the simultaneous equilibrium into two
separate equilibria, the problem is actually reasonably easy to
analyse.
The first of these equilibria is:
$$H^+ + HCO_3^- + H_2O \rightleftharpoons^{K_1} H_2CO_3 +
H_2O$$
From the original definition of K, it can be seen that:
$$K_1 = \frac{[H_2CO_3]}{[H^+][HCO_3^-]}$$
The second equilibrium is:
$$H_2CO_3 + H_2O \rightleftharpoons^{K_2} 2H_2O + CO_2$$
Again, from the definition of K, we can easily see that:
$$K_2 = \frac{[CO_2]}{[H_2CO_3]}$$
Eliminating $[H_2CO_3]$ from these gives:
$$ K_1[H^+][HCO_3^-] = \frac{[CO_2]}{K_2} $$
Rearranging:
$$ [H^+] = \frac{[CO_2]}{K_1K_2[HCO_3^-]}$$
Using the definition of pH allows:
$$ pH =
-log_{10}\left(\frac{[CO_2]}{K_1K_2[HCO_3^-]}\right)$$
$$ = -log_{10}\left(\frac{1}{K_1K_2}\right)
-log_{10}\left(\frac{[CO_2]}{[HCO_3^-]}\right)$$
$$ = -log_{10}\left(\frac{1}{K}\right)
-log_{10}\left(\frac{[CO_2]}{[HCO_3]}\right)$$
$$ = pK -log\left(\frac{[CO_2]}{[HCO_3]}\right)$$
For the second part of this question, we are trying to prove that
the inside of the logarithm is equivalent in each equation.
Starting with the final equation and working in reverse:
$ \frac{1}{x} -1 -K_1[H^+]$
$ = \left(\frac{[HCO_3^-] + [H_2CO_3] + [CO_2]}{[HCO_3^-]}\right)\
-1\ -\left(\frac{[H^+][H_2CO_3]}{[H^+][HCO_3^-]}\right)$
$ = \left(\frac{[H_2CO_3]}{[HCO_3^-]}\right) +
\left(\frac{[CO_2]}{[HCO_3^-]}\right)
- \left(\frac{[H_2CO_3]}{[HCO_3^-]}\right)$
$= \left(\frac{[CO_2]}{[HCO_3^-]}\right)$
This is as required.
By treating $K_1[H^+]$ as very small, we can neglect it, and as the
pH expression becomes:
$$pH = 6.1 - log( \frac{1}{x} -1)$$
$$ = 6.1 - log\left(\frac{1-x}{x}\right)$$
Plotting this gives the required buffer curve:
Extension:
1) We are dealing with pHs in the region of 4- 8, and so the $[H^+]
= 10^{-4} to 10^{-8}$. This is very small compared to the
$\frac{1}{x} -1$ term, and so can be neglected. Additionally,
because this quantity is subsequently logged, such a small
difference is made even smaller, such that it can certainly be
neglected.
2) This part of the problem requires a solid grip on the chain
rule, and logarithmic manipulation. It is solved as shown:
$$pH = 6.1 - log\left(\frac{1-x}{x}\right)$$
$$ = 6.1 - \frac{ln\left(\frac{1-x}{x}\right)}{ln(10)}$$
$$ = 6.1 - \frac{1}{ln(10)}\left(ln(1-x) -ln(x)\right)$$
$$\therefore \frac{d(pH)}{dx}= \frac{1}{ln(10)} \left(\frac{1}{1-x}
+ \frac{1}{x}\right)$$
$$\therefore \frac{d^2(pH)}{dx^2} = \frac{1}{ln(10)}
\left(\frac{1}{(1-x)^2} -\frac{1}{x^2}\right) = 0$$
$$ \frac{1}{(1-x)^2} = \frac{1}{x^2}$$
$$ x =0.5$$
Thus the second derivative of the pH is zero when x = 0.5. This
corresponds to a point of inflection on the graph, which is where
the gradient of the gradent is zero: at this point the curve ceases
to decrease in gradient and begins to again increase in
gradient.