Siobhan has sent us her work on this
problem. Well done, Siobhan!
The problem says that $t_8^2$ has two cycles, whereas $t_8^3$ has
one cycle and $t_8^4$ has four cycles. I noticed that in each of
these examples the number of cycles in $t_8^k$ is the highest
common factor of $8$ and $k$. I decided to test this on shuffles of
lengths $9$ and $10$.
Here are the tables I got:
$$\begin{eqnarray} t_9^0 & = & (1)\\ t_9^1 & =
& (1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9)\\ t_9^2 & = & (1 3 5 7 9 2 4 6
8)\\ t_9^3 & = & (1 4 7)(2 5 8)(3 6 9)\\ t_9^4 & =
& (1 5 9 4 8 3 7 2 6)\\ t_9^5 & = & (1 6 2 7 3 8 4 9
5)\\ t_9^6 & = & (1 7 4)(2 8 5)(3 9 6)\\ t_9^7 & =
& (1 8 6 4 2 9 7 5 3)\\ t_9^8 & = & (1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3
2)\\ \end{eqnarray}$$
$$\begin{eqnarray} t_{10}^0 & = & (1)\\ t_{10}^1 &
= & (1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10)\\ t_{10}^2 & = & (1 3 5 7
9)(2 4 6 8 10)\\ t_{10}^3 & = & (1 4 7 10 3 6 9 2 5 8)\\
t_{10}^4 & = & (1 5 9 3 7)(2 6 10 4 8)\\ t_{10}^5 & =
& (1 6)(2 7)(3 8)(4 9)(5 10)\\ t_{10}^6 & = & (1 7 3 9
5)(2 8 4 10 6)\\ t_{10}^7 & = & (1 8 5 2 9 6 3 10 7 4)\\
t_{10}^8 & = & (1 9 7 5 3)(2 10 8 6 4)\\ t_{10}^9 & =
& (1 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2) \end{eqnarray}$$
This agrees with my prediction: the number of cycles in
$t_n^k$ is the highest common factor of $k$ and $n$. (Of course,
$(1)$ really means $(1)(2)(3)\ldots (n)$ so has $n$ cycles.)
In $t_n^1$, consecutive numbers are $1$ apart ($1$, $2$, $3$,
\ldots, $n$). When we do this twice, they are two apart, because,
for example, $1$ goes to $2$ which goes to $3$ so $1$ goes to $3$.
When we work out $t_n^3$, the numbers that were $2$ apart become
$3$ apart, because, for example, $1$ goes to $3$ which goes to $4$
so $1$ goes to $4$. It's quite easy to see that this will keep
happening, because each time we apply $t_n$ we move the numbers $1$
further apart. So in $t_n^k$ the numbers are $k$ apart. But now we
can see that the number of cycles we get will be the highest common
factor of $k$ and $n$; this is like the Stars problem mentioned in
this question.